Category: Civil

Space Policy Events for the Week of March 11-15, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of March 11-15, 2013

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.  The House and Senate both are in session.

During the Week

Senator Barbara Mikulski (D-MD), chair of the Senate Appropriations Committee, is expected to introduce the Senate Democrats’ version of the FY2013 Continuing Resolution (CR) on Monday, with floor consideration possible as early as Wednesday.   Rumors of what will be in the bill are just that, rumors, and these have short lifetimes, but for what it is worth, the most recent betting seemed to be that she would try to incorporate three more of the 12 regular appropriations bills into the CR.  The House-passed CR, which would fund the government for the rest of FY2013 (through September 30), included two of the 12 regular appropriations bills — defense and military construction/veterans affairs. The Mikulski bill is rumored to add these three: Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS, which includes NASA and NOAA); Agriculture; and Homeland Security.  The goal does not seem to give the additional agencies more money — it’s said the total amount of funding in her bill is the same as what passed the House last week, $984 billion, the sequester-adjusted total for FY2013 — but to give them more flexiblity in how to spend it. That is the big complaint about the sequester, not that it cuts too much money (though there certainly are people who would argue that), but that it does not allow cuts to specific activities.  It cuts every activity by roughly the same amount regardless of priority or merit.

Meanwhile, the House and Senate Budget Committees also are expected to reveal their separate budget resolutions for FY2014 and beyond.  The Obama Administration still has not sent its budget request for FY2014 to Capitol Hill, nor publicly stated when it will do so.  The latest rumor there is that the DOD request, at least, will not be submitted until April 8.  Usually, the entire budget request for all departments and agencies is submitted at the same time, but there is no way to tell at this point if that will be true this year.  Meanwhile, President Obama is scheduled to visit Capitol Hill on Wednesday and Thursday to talk with Representatives and Senators on their own turf about a long term budget strategy to avoid the crisis-dominated pattern of recent years.

Monday, March 11

Tuesday, March 12

Wednesday, March 13

Thursday, March 14

 

CAIB Chairman Hal Gehman: ""The Work is Never Done""

CAIB Chairman Hal Gehman: ""The Work is Never Done""

Adm. Harold (Hal) Gehman (Ret.), chairman of the Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB) that determined the cause of the 2003 space shuttle STS-107 Columbia tragedy, says that he does not know if NASA’s culture changed as a result of the accident and CAIB’s recommendations because CAIB no longer exists and Congress never asked it back.

Columbia disintegrated as it returned to Earth on February 1, 2003 after a 16-day science mission.  At a March 8, 2013 seminar sponsored by George Washington University’s (GWU’s) Space Policy Institute and the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA), Gehman and others who were involved in dealing with the aftermath shared stories and lessons learned from the disaster.  They also raised questions about what lessons were unlearned or forgotten in the intervening 10 years.

CAIB determined the technical cause of the accident: a hole in the left wing created when foam liberated from the External Tank struck it during launch; this allowed the superheated gases surrounding the shuttle 16 days later as it sped through the atmosphere during its return to Earth to enter the wing.  The superheated gases deformed the wing, creating aerodynamic forces that ripped the shuttle apart.  Seven astronauts died:  NASA’s Rick Husband, William McCool, Michael Anderson, Laurel Clark, David Brown, and Kalpana Chawla, and Ilan Ramon of the Israeli Air Force.

Gehman and fellow CAIB member John Logsdon, GWU Professor Emeritus, stressed that the accident had a more fundamental cause, however, rooted particularly in NASA’s culture.   When asked if CAIB’s work was done, Gehman said “the work is never done.”   He recounted that when he testified to committees in both the House and Senate in 2003, he was asked a similar question and he replied “wait a couple years and bring the CAIB back and we can tell you in 10 days whether or not the culture has changed.  No one ever called us back.”

Other participants in the day-long symposium painted a detailed picture of the conditions prior to, during and after the disaster and several suggested that, 10 years later, several of the external and internal factors that – apart from the technical failure – led to the accident may once more be in place.

The agency’s actions immediately following the disaster, including their care of the crew’s families, are perhaps the silver lining in the story.  Former astronaut Scott “Doc” Horowitz and former NASA Marshall Space Flight Center Director David King described in detail their respective roles in the monumental task of recovering the remains of the astronauts and the pieces of the shuttle scattered across East Texas and parts of Louisiana, a search area equivalent to the size of the state of Rhode Island. The undertaking involved 140 local and federal organizations, 25,000 people – including the National Guard – and ground, air and water  searches. They succeeded in recovering the remains of the crew members within two weeks and in retrieving and cataloguing over 40% of the Shuttle (by weight) in just 100 days. The effort was impressive from a number of levels, not the least of which was the human aspect.  King and Horowitz, who listed a number of elements that contributed to success of the recovery operation, highlighted the importance of sustaining morale in what was at times a very challenging emotional experience.

Former astronaut Pam Melroy was particularly effective in conveying the challenge of studying specifically what happened to her seven colleagues in order to better understand what might have been done to make the mission safer.  She led the reconstruction efforts of the debris that was recovered, including that of the crew cabin, and successfully convinced the agency to publish a detailed report of the fate of the cabin and its occupants to help in design of future vehicles.  She particularly thanked three people – former shuttle program manager Wayne Hale, former Johnson Space Center Director (and former astronaut) Mike Coats, and former NASA Administrator Mike Griffin – for their “moral courage” in getting her report published so that the lessons it contained would not get lost.

Driving their work in recovering the hardware was the goal of Return to Flight, said King. The information on what pieces of the shuttle were found, precisely where, and in what condition played a critical role in CAIB’s analysis.  Logsdon described how the $17 million, six-month effort went beyond traditional investigations of technical failures to look at NASA as an organization and place the accident in the long-term historical context of the space program. He noted that several of the CAIB’s observations, such as the lack of a clearly defined long-term human spaceflight goal and the lack of sustained government commitment to the program, are just as relevant today.

Doug Cooke, who served as NASA’s technical advisor to CAIB and later became Associate Administrator for Exploration before retiring in 2011, walked through the reconstruction of events and how it was informed by the hardware recovery process. He commented on the importance of the discovery of the flight data recorder, which cemented the Board’s suspicion that a foam impact on RCC panel 8 had been the main cause.  But the process also highlighted other vulnerabilities that Cooke said “might have caused the next accident” if STS-107 had survived.  This “indicated the degree to which we misunderstood the vehicle we were flying,” he said, adding that “we were learning about the shuttle ‘till the day it was decommissioned.”

Cooke enumerated a number of concerns for today’s human spaceflight program, such as the extent to which NASA can or cannot impose requirements on commercial crew operators, the consequences of “overconfidence” born of success, and the effects of political influences on safety. He agreed with the sentiments of other speakers that NASA did indeed become stronger after the accident, but cautioned that as time goes by those lessons may become less relevant and safety can be compromised. “The consequences, we know, can be catastrophic,” he said.

Vice Admiral Joseph Dyer (Ret.), chair of NASA’s Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel (ASAP), expressed similar concerns. Dyer considered the legacy of the accident on the safety practices of the agency and said of the Columbia crew that “in their lives and in their loss they made NASA better.”  He described the shuttle program as “significantly safer” after the accident, thanks in particular to the adoption of the concepts of rescue and launch-on-need, which relied on a back-up shuttle ready to launch in the event of an emergency, a practice that was kept until the last shuttle launch.

Yet looking at the agency now and, in particular, the future of commercial crew transport, Dyer expressed concern. Aside from the relationship between cost and safety and a question of requirements, budgetary pressures are a principal obstacle.  He reiterated that we must learn from our mistakes and let them influence our future but “not limit our spirit or need to explore.”

The seminar looked at lessons learned, unlearned, forgotten, and in one case, wrongly learned from the Challenger disaster in 1986.   Several speakers referenced the late Sally Ride’s haunting comment that she heard “echoes” of Challenger in the Columbia tragedy.  Ride, the first American woman in space, served on the accident investigation boards for both Challenger and Columbia.

At Friday’s seminar, Wayne Hale, who served in several positions in the space shuttle program before becoming program manager several years after Columbia, said that the lesson he originally learned from Challenger was that “one venal, amoral manager made an improper decision and browbeat the troops” into supporting it.   It was only after Columbia, he said, that he discovered that was not the lesson at all, that both tragedies were the result of NASA’s culture.

He came to that realization, he said, after reading The Challenger Launch Decision by sociologist Diane Vaughn, which came to prominence in the aftermath of Columbia.   Hale said it was only then that he understood Vaughn’s central point that the Challenger disaster was the result of a “rule-based decision. It was not amorally calculating managers violating rules… It was conformity.  They were following the rules.”   Because he did not understand that at the time, he and others wrongly concluded that NASA was basically on the right track with Return to Flight, but they were not, as Columbia demonstrated.

That was a lesson wrongly learned that needed to be unlearned, he stressed.  Prof. Julianne Miller of George Mason University, author of Organizational Learning at NASA:  The Challenger and the Columbia Accidents, spoke at length about lessons learned, unlearned and forgotten.   Lessons are forgotten unintentionally, she explained, but unlearning is when lessons are “intentionally jettisoned” because they are deemed to be no longer relevant or fall victim to budget cuts or management changes.

The impressive array of speakers – many of them former astronauts offering poignant stories of being on the front line of recovering their fallen comrades and shuttle fragments, piecing the fragments back together to determine what went wrong, and moving the shuttle program forward to Return to Flight – along with other former NASA officials, offered many of their own lessons learned.  Scott Pace, who was Deputy Chief of Staff to then-NASA Administrator Sean O’Keefe and now heads GWU’s Space Policy Institute, said the lesson he took away was “have a degree of humility in front of the hardware.” Although the major shuttle components – the orbiter, SRBs and External Tank – were performing all right, he said, “the system as a whole was exhibiting dangerous behavior that we didn’t recognize. … We had failed to listen to the vehicle and what it was telling us.”

Former astronaut and former head of NASA’s Safety and Mission Assurance Office Bryan O’Connor offered the lesson to “look where you slipped, not where you fell.”  Hale provided a cogent list of 10 lessons that enveloped many of those offered by other speakers:

  1. It can happen to you
  2. Focus
  3. Speak up
  4. You are not nearly as smart as you think you are
  5. Dissention has tremendous value
  6. Question the conventional wisdom
  7. Do good work
  8. Engineering is done with numbers
  9. Use your imagination
  10. Nothing worthwhile was accomplished without taking risk 

He agreed with Gehman that the work is never done because there are new people designing new human spaceflight systems who did not live through the shuttle tragedies and need to understand what happened.

In the final analysis, did CAIB make a difference, Gehman asked rhetorically.   He answered by saying it was forums like this that will keep the lessons alive.

The overarching point that he and others stressed, however, is that “there is no progress unless you do risky activity.”  The key is knowing the risk, being honest about it, evaluating whether the risk is worth the reward, and, if it is, managing that risk.

Note: Marcia Smith also contributed to this article.

FY2014 Budget Request Delayed to April?

FY2014 Budget Request Delayed to April?

President Obama should have submitted his FY2014 budget request to Congress in February, but the latest rumor is that it will be delayed until the first week of April.

By law, the budget request is supposed to be sent to Congress on the first Monday in February — this year, that would have been February 4.  The White House informed Congress that it would not meet that date, but still has not officially announced when it will be released.

Some press reports had been saying that March 25 would be the date, but today The Hill newspaper says the Department of Defense (DOD) budget, at least, won’t be ready then, either.   Instead, the new date is April 8.

Ordinarily the budgets for all agencies are submitted at the same time.  It is possible that DOD’s could be earlier or later than others, but until the White House makes an official announcement, April 8 is the best date available.

Both the House and Senate are scheduled to be in recess from March 25-April 5 for Easter, so in that sense the difference between March 25 and April 8 (the Monday they return) seems less dramatic, but congressional staff and a legion of organizations and lobbyists are anxiously awaiting information on what the FY2014 budget may bring. 

Colbert's Take on Inspiration Mars Mission

Colbert's Take on Inspiration Mars Mission

If you haven’t had your morning laugh yet, you might want to watch this Stephen Colbert segment.

It’s his take on the announcement by Dennis Tito et al of the Inspiration Mars mission to send a married couple on a flyby mission to Mars.   Regardless of your views on that mission, Colbert’s segment is priceless. 

Watch at:  http://www.colbertnation.com/the-colbert-report-videos/424391/march-05-2013/mars-flyby-mission?xrs=share_twitter.  

Thanks to Michael Listner (@ponder68) and Tanja Masson-Zwaan (@tanjamasson) for pointing it out.

Wolf Alleges Security Violations at NASA's Langley Research Center, Issues Seven Step Remediation Plan

Wolf Alleges Security Violations at NASA's Langley Research Center, Issues Seven Step Remediation Plan

Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA) today charged that there have been security violations at NASA’s Langley Research Center (LaRC) in Hampton, VA that resulted in a Chinese national obtaining sensitive information.   Wolf previously has honed in on similar alleged violations at Ames Research Center in Moffett Field, CA.   He says he is now worried about the entire agency and therefore issued a seven-step plan he wants NASA to implement to address “systemic security issues.”

At a Capitol Hill press conference this afternoon, Wolf, who chairs the House appropriations subcommittee that funds NASA, said that whistleblowers alerted him to a situation where, he reports, a Chinese national “was allegedly provided access and information he should have otherwise been restricted from receiving.”    He goes on to say that he understands the individual “is affiliated with an institution in China that has been designated as ‘an entity of concern’ by other government agencies,” and that “this Chinese national was allegedly employed by a Langley contractor allegedly at the direction of NASA officials in an apparent attempt to circumvent” restrictions included in NASA’s appropriations bill regarding China.

Wolf is an intense critic of the Chinese government and included language in the last two NASA appropriations acts restricting NASA from interacting with China in any way unless authorized by Congress or after sending Congress a certification 14 days in advance that the interaction would not harm national security.

Earlier this week, Wolf demanded to know why NASA was allowing Chinese nationals to participate in a meeting that is being held at LaRC of the Strategic Implementation Team of the international Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) next week without providing Congress with the required certification.

At a meeting of several committees of the National Research Council’s Space Studies Board yesterday, Mike Freilich, Director of NASA’s Earth Science Division, noted that China has been a member of CEOS since 1992 and therefore it was invited to the meeting.  He said there are different interpretations of the law, but stressed that NASA has a responsibility to run CEOS within the law “and we are doing so.”  He said NASA Administrator Bolden was planning to meet with Wolf to discuss the matter.

Wolf did not mention that issue in his remarks today.  Instead he focused on the earlier allegations about Ames Research Center and the new allegations at LaRC along with concerns about a NASA website that he asserts makes available sensitive but unclassified documents. Overall, he blasted what he termed a NASA “management culture….that turns a blind eye, or in some cases may outright encourage, violations of security regulations.”

He laid out seven steps he wants NASA to implement starting with Bolden appointing an “independent, outside panel to comprehensively review and audit security protocols and enforcement, including foreign national access and export controls, at every NASA center and headquarters.”  He recommended that the National Academy of Public Administration (NAPA) be that outside entity and that it be chaired by someone with a strong security background, naming former Attorney General Dick Thornburgh as an example.

 

House Passes FY2013 Full-Year CR

House Passes FY2013 Full-Year CR

The House passed the full-year Continuing Resolution (CR) this afternoon by a vote of 267-151.  Many Democrats spoke against the bill because it holds non-defense agencies to their funding levels as reduced by the sequester while defense spending grows.

Nonetheless, 53 Democrats joined 214 Republicans in passing the bill, H.R. 933.  Opposing it were 137 Democrats and 14 Republicans.

The bill now goes to the Democratically-controlled Senate.  Congress has until March 27 to pass a bill to fund the rest of FY2013 (which ends on September 30).

 

 

House to Vote on CR Tomorrow

House to Vote on CR Tomorrow

The House will vote on the new full-year FY2013 Continuing Resolution (CR) tomorrow morning, a day earlier than planned. 

The full-year CR, H.R. 933, was introduced on Monday.  An accompanying explanatory report now has been posted on the House Rules Committee’s website, providing significant detail (392 of its 394 pages) on funding for the Department of Defense (DOD) and Military Construction/Veterans Affairs (MilCon/VA), but sheds no further light on decisions about the other agencies.

The White House issued a Statement of Administration Policy (SAP) on the CR today expressing reservations about the bill, but stopped short of threatening a veto, saying it is “deeply concerned” about the impact of the bill and is “committed to working with Congress to address these concerns in a way that strengthens the middle class and helps to grow the economy.”  Among the White House’s concerns are that although the bill funds two of the 12 regular appropriations bills (DOD and MilCon/VA) at FY2013 levels, all the other agencies are left at their FY2012 levels.  That includes NASA and NOAA.

Impending Snowstorm Postpones House Hearing on Asteroids, SSB Meeting to be Webcast

Impending Snowstorm Postpones House Hearing on Asteroids, SSB Meeting to be Webcast

The House Science, Space and Technology Committee’s hearing on meteors and comets that was scheduled for tomorrow, March 6, has been postponed because of an impending snowstorm.  Separately, sessions of the National Research Council’s Space Studies Board’s (SSB’s) “Space Science Week” meeting scheduled for tomorrow will go on as scheduled, but the SSB has arranged a webcast for people who do not want to brave snow-snarled traffic.

Many of you in parts of the country accustomed to snowstorms undoubtedly will be amused that the Washington, DC area is already calling off events before the first snowflake falls and only 3-7 inches are forecast for the immediate DC area.  However, such is the way of snowstorms in this area that routinely bring traffic on the highways and on our Metro rapid transit system to a halt.  Enough commuters have spent enough 6 to 8 to 10 hour waits stuck on highways or Metro trains that the mere mention of snow makes most rational non-essential people stay home.

The hearing was to feature Office of Science and Technology Policy Director John Holdren, Air Force Space Command Commander William Shelton, and NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden discussing how the nation is working to ameliorate threats from asteroids (or meteors as they are called once they enter the atmosphere) and comets.   This was billed as Part I, so the hearing very likely will be rescheduled.

Meanwhile, the SSB’s Space Science Week will begin as scheduled at the National Academy of Sciences building on Constitution Avenue, but the SSB managed to arrange a webcast for people who don’t want to try and make it there to attend in person.   Instructions on how to view the webcast is posted on the SSB website along with an agenda.   It is a three-day meeting of the SSB’s four standing committees that span the range of space science disciplines:  the Committee on Astronomy and Astrophysics (a joint committee with the Board on Physics and Astronomy), the Committee on Solar and Space Physics, the Committee on Astrobiology and Planetary Science, and the Committee on Earth Science and Applications from Space.

Editor’s note:  an earlier version of this article did not include the term non-essential for those people who brave snowstorms in Washington.  There are lots of essential people who have no choice and we meant no disrespect. 

New House CR Adds Money for NASA Exploration, NOAA GOES-R, But It's a Zero Sum Game

New House CR Adds Money for NASA Exploration, NOAA GOES-R, But It's a Zero Sum Game

Rep. Hal Rogers (R-KY) introduced the House version of a “full year” Continuing Resolution (CR) today that would fund the government for the rest of FY2013.   The bulk of the bill is about the Department of Defense (DOD) and Veterans Affairs, but it covers all government agencies.  It gives special attention to NASA’s exploration program and NOAA’s geostationary weather satellite program, but in the end the totals for those agencies do not change.

Under a CR, agencies are generally held to their prior year funding levels not only at the account level, but for particular projects.  In this case, that would be the funding provided in the FY2012 appropriations bill (P.L. 112-55).   Exceptions can always be made, however, and a number of them are in the Rogers bill, H.R. 933.  For NASA and NOAA, though, it stil is zero sum game where the total appropriation is the same, but certain programs get more than others.

Introducing the bill is only the first step to passage, so it is too early to get excited about its contents, but it does send a signal as to what the top priorities are for House Republicans, at least.   Funding DOD and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) and giving them flexibility in dealing with dual impacts of the sequester and a full-year CR are at the heart of it.  About two-thirds of the 269-page bill is a revised version of the FY2013 DOD appropriations bill and the FY2013 Military Construction/Veterans Affairs bill that passed the House and were reported from the Senate Appropriations Committee last year.  The Senate never acted on them, however, so there was no conference report or final appropriations.

Rogers said in a statement that the DOD and VA portions of the bill were already negotiated with the Senate, so presumably have the backing of Senate Democrats as well.  The CR would give DOD $518.1 billion, which is $2 billion more than the Obama Administration requested for FY2013.  There is another $87.2 billion for “Overseas Contingency Operations” — the budget term for the war in Afghanistan and other activities related to the Gloal War on Terrorism.

Other than DOD and VA, however, agencies do not fare as well.   They will be held at their FY2012 levels as adjusted by the sequester that went into effect on March 1.  “This means that the funding rate within the legislation is approximately $982 billion  — the level required by the President’s sequestration order,” Rogers said.   He added that passing the legislation would avoid a government shutdown on March 27 when the current CR expires.

The bill does provide some exceptions for specific civil space programs.    Funding for NOAA’s new Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES-R) program would be as requested for FY2013 ($802 million) rather than being held at the FY2012 level.   The budget request is substantially higher than the FY2012 level of $616 million because procurement must begin for the launch vehicles for the first two satellites.   NOAA warned the Senate Appropriations Committee that the launches could be delayed 2-3 years if the funding was not available.

As for NASA, the bill apparently holds NASA to its FY2012 funding level adjusted for the sequester.   Within those constraints, however, it adds funding above the FY2012 levels for the Space Launch System (SLS), commercial crew, exploration R&D, and SLS ground operations, and also allows a larger transfer of funds from the Exploration account to the Construction account for construction activities related to SLS and Orion.   Funding for Space Operations and Cross-Agency Support would be reduced to partially compensate for the increases in the Exploration account. 

Funding for the commercial crew program has been the subject of particular interest.  NASA requested $830 million for FY2013.  The House passed a FY2013 appropriations bill for NASA that provided $500 million.  The Senate Appropriations Committee recommended $525 million in a bill that was never passed by the Senate.  This CR would provide the amount recommended by the Senate committee.   In FY2012, commercial crew received $406 million, so the amount in this CR is more than NASA would have gotten if it were held to its FY2012 level, but less than what it wanted for FY2013.

The House may consider the bill on Thursday, but it is a long way to go until March 27 in political terms.  Whether the White House and Senate Democrats will agree to the post-sequester total funding level of $982 billion for discretionary funding is a big if. 

NOAA Takes Over Operation of Suomi NPP Satellite

NOAA Takes Over Operation of Suomi NPP Satellite

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) took over operation of the Suomi NPP satellite on February 22 according to press releases today from NOAA and NASA.  The satellite was built and launched by NASA as a technology testbed, but delays in NOAA’s polar orbiting weather satellite program resulted in it becoming part of NOAA’s operational environmental satellite constellation.

The “NPP” part of its name originally was a reference to its origin as the NPOESS Preparatory Project, a spacecraft to test new technologies for the National Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite System (NPOESS).  After that program was terminated by the White House following years of delays and overruns, NOAA embarked upon a revised Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) of polar orbiting satellites.  The first JPSS satellite is planned for launch in 2017.   Suomi NPP therefore was redesignated as a bridge between NOAA’s older polar orbiting satellites and JPSS.

NASA launched what was simply called NPP on October 28, 2011.   It was renamed Suomi NPP several months later.  Suomi is in honor of the late Verner E. Suomi, considered the father of satellite meteorology.  NPP now stands for National Polar-orbiting Partnership, a reference to the partnership between NASA and NOAA.

Acting NOAA Administrator Kathy Sullivan said today than transferring operations of the satellite to NOAA “marks the dawn of the JPSS era.”  Mike Freilich, Director of NASA’s Earth Science Division, said “As a true collaboration in which all partners benefit, Suomi NPP measurements are supporting researchers and weather forecasters alike.”   Generally speaking, NASA programs in this field are designed to advance earth science research, while NOAA programs are operational, using data in weather and climate forecasting, for example.

As a research satellite and technology test-bed, Suomi NPP was designed for only three years of life.  Satellites often exceed their design life and the agencies are hoping that will be true for this one.   The first JPSS satellite is not scheduled for launch until the spring of 2017 and it will take months thereafter before it is calibrated and validated.   NOAA and several independent reviews have been warning for two years about a potential gap between when Suomi NPP stops functioning and JPSS-1 is operational.  The Governmental Accountability Office (GAO) estimated last year that if Suomi NPP operates for five years instead of three, a 17-month data gap is a “best case scenario.”