Category: Civil

Injuries from Russian Meteor Pass 1,000; NASA News Conference at 4:00 pm ET Today

Injuries from Russian Meteor Pass 1,000; NASA News Conference at 4:00 pm ET Today

Russian media sources are reporting that the number of people injured by today’s meteor impact near Chelyabinsk is more than 1,000 and windows were shattered in about 300 buildings.

NASA will hold a media teleconference today, February 15, at 4:00 pm ET to discuss the Russian meteor, which scientists say was completely unrelated to asteroid 2012 DA14 which passed by Earth harmlessly at 2:25 pm ET this afternoon.  Asteroids are rocks that remain in space.   If they enter Earth’s atmosphere they become meteors.  Any pieces that reach the ground are meteorites.

Panelists for the NASA teleconference at 4:00 pm ET are Paul Chodas, JPL, and Bill Cooke, Marshall Space Flight Center.   It will be streamed live at http://www.nasa.gov/newsaudio.

Meteorite Impacts Russia While Asteroid DA14 Nears Earth

Meteorite Impacts Russia While Asteroid DA14 Nears Earth

While everyone’s attention has been focused on the imminent close pass of asteroid 2012 DA14 later today, a meteorite crashed in Russia’s Ural Mountains this morning injuring more than 400 people primarily from broken glass. 

The U.K. Space Agency and the European Space Agency each tweeted that the meteor is unrelated to 2012 DA14, which will pass Earth at an altitude of 17,150 miles later today.   Though physically they may be unrelated, the two events certainly are coincidental and involve the same type of celestial objects — asteroids.   An asteroid is basically a rock that stays in space. If it enters Earth’s atmosphere and streaks across the sky, it is called a meteor.   If it reaches the ground, it’s a meteorite.  Many asteroids that become meteors do not survive the journey though the atmosphere and put on beautiful nighttime displays.  Sometimes they come in clusters and are called meteor showers.  Some meteor showers recur on a regular schedule, such as the Perseids and Geminids.

Still images and videos (like this one on YouTube) of the meteor streaking across the Russian sky today are available on the Internet already. The image below was published by the Associated Press (AP) with a caption saying it was taken with a mobile phone camera in the Chelyabinsk region, about 900 miles east of Moscow.

Image credit:  Associated Press/Sergey Hametov

Russia’s Itar-Tass news agency reported that more than 400 people were injured by the event, which occurred about 9:20 am local time.  Russia’s RIA Novosti added that the meteor fell into a body of water one kilometer (1.6 miles) from the city of Chebarkul and estimated the injuries at 500.  That news source said three victims are in “grave” condition.  The injuries are primarily from broken glass caused by the sonic boom created by the meteor.   News reports from Russia give conflicting information about whether any fragments were located.

Organizations like the B612 Foundation have been warning about the potentially catastrophic damage that asteroids can cause on Earth.  In a Wall Street Journal op-ed yesterday, B612 Foundation CEO (and former astronaut) Ed Lu and renowned British astronomer Martin Rees made the case for putting more effort into locating asteroids that could potentially harm Earth before it’s too late: “On most days, human civilization wins the game of cosmic roulette.  But just as we take precautions to reduce our individual risks of dying in car accidents or earthquakes, we should do the same to reduce our societal risk of a catastrophic asteroid impact.  Let’s open our eyes and stop gambling with our future.”   The B612 Foundation is seeking funds from philanthropists and the public to build the Sentinel Space Telescope, a spacecraft that would orbit the Sun in a particular type of orbit that allows it to detect and track more asteroids than can be seen by Earth-based telescopes.  Conceptually, if a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) was identified with sufficient lead time, measures could be taken to divert its trajectory away from Earth.

One of the most dramatic meteor impacts in modern history also occurred in Russia.   In 1908, an asteroid exploded above the ground near the Tunguska River in Siberia, flattening trees for 800 square miles.  Further back in history, an asteroid impact is widely thought to have caused the extinction of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago.

NASA scientists insist that asteroid 2012 DA14 will safely fly past Earth this afternoon.  DA14 was discovered last year and scientists have a good understanding of its trajectory.    It will make its closest approach of 17,150 miles altitude at 2:25 pm EST today and cannot be seen from the United States since it will be daylight.  The best viewing will be in Australia.  NASA will air an animation of the event with commentary by Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) scientists on NASA TV from 2:00-2:30 pm EST.

JPL manages NASA’s Near Earth Object (NEO) program that has been detecting and cataloging asteroids for many years.  NEOs are asteroids and comets whose paths bring them into Earth’s neighborhood.  They have catalogued about 90 percent of the largest asteroids that could pose the greatest threat and improved equipment now allows smaller objects like DA14 to be added.   DA14 is about 150 feet (45 meters) in diameter.

Phil Plait (@BadAstronomer) is posting images and information about today’s Russian meteorite to his blog.  As he says, it may be unrelated to DA14, “but what a huge coincidence.”

 

Satellite Data Association: Asteroid DA14 Does Not Imperil Satellites

Satellite Data Association: Asteroid DA14 Does Not Imperil Satellites

The Space Data Association (SDA) reassured satellite operators and users yesterday that the close pass of asteroid 2012 DA14 tomorrow poses no threat to satellites.

The 150 foot (45 meter) diameter asteroid will pass by Earth at 17,150 miles (27,600 kilometers) altitude, between Medium Earth Orbit (MEO) where GPS and certain other navigation satellite constellations reside, and Geostationary Earth Orbit (GEO) where most communications satellites as well as other types of satellites are located.  

SDA analyzed the orbits of all the satellites in MEO and GEO that are listed in the public space catalog and concluded the asteroid “will come no closer than 1,000 km to any space object, and will not threaten any operational objects nor will it create debris in any orbit.”  SDA added that satellite operators worry only about “uncoordinated flybys of less than 10 km.”

NASA has been reassuring everyone that the asteroid poses no threat to Earth itself, either.   The asteroid’s closest approach to Earth will occur at 2:25 pm Eastern Standard Time (EST) tomorrow, February 15.  Since it will be daylight in the United States, it cannot be viewed from here, although NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory will provide commentary with real-time animation on NASA TV from 2:00-2:30 pm EST.

NASA has slightly refined its estimates of the altitude and time at closest approach.  Earlier it reported the time as 2:24 pm instead of 2:25 pm EST, and the altitude as 17,200 miles instead of 17,150 miles.

 

Sequester Would Delay NOAA's GOES-R Series 2-3 Years, Cut NASA $727 Million from FY13 Request

Sequester Would Delay NOAA's GOES-R Series 2-3 Years, Cut NASA $727 Million from FY13 Request

The Senate Appropriations Committee has posted letters from many of the departments and agencies categorized as discretionary spending spelling out the impacts on their activities if the sequester goes into effect on March 1.  Among them are NASA, and NOAA’s parent Department of Commerce (DoC).

The committee held a hearing this morning on the impact of the sequester, but neither NASA nor NOAA was represented at the witness table.  The letters to committee chairwoman Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD) provide a glimpse of what the sequester would mean to them, however.

The DoC letter states that “Significant and costly impacts to NOAA’s weather satellites and other observational programs are … certain.  For example, sequestration will result in a 2-3 year launch delay for the first two next-generation geostationary weather satellites (currently planned to launch in 2015 and 2017)…. This delay would increase the risk of a gap in satellite coverage and diminish the quality of weather forecasts and warnings.”

GAO issued a report today adding the potential gap in weather satellite coverage to its High Risk List of areas that need special attention.  That report does not appear to take into account the effects of sequestration.

The DoC letter does not mention NOAA’s new polar orbiting weather satellite system, the Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS).  The new geostationary satellites in the GOES-R series may be of more concern at this moment because NOAA requested a significant increase in its FY2013 budget request to begin procurement of a launch vehicle for the first of those satellites.  In total, the sequester would cut $551 million from DoC for FY2013.  Up to 2,600 NOAA employees would have to be furloughed, 2,700 positions would not be filled, and the number of contractors would be reduced by about 1,400, the DoC letter says.

NASA’s letter says that under sequestration, NASA’s budget would be $16,984.7 million in direct discretionary spending.  That would be a cut of $726.7 million from the President’s FY2013 budget request of $17,771.4 million.   If, in addition, Congress extends the current Continuing Resolution for the rest of FY2013, the cut would be $894.1 million from the annualized levels in the existing CR according to that letter. 

The government is operating under a 6-month CR that generally holds agencies to their FY2012 funding levels.  It expires on March 27 and the betting is that Congress will simply extend it for the rest of the fiscal year (through September 30), so agencies would get a double dose of budget woes — the sequester and a full-year CR.

The NASA letter goes through its budget account by account highlighting the impact of the cuts from the sequester alone.  The most dramatic impacts would be on Space Technology and Exploration.   Space Technology’s budget level would fall by $149.4 million from the FY2013 budget request of $699 million.  The FY2013 budget request for Exploration of $3,932.8 million would lose $332.2 million and “reduce Commercial Space Flight funding by $441.6 million below the FY2013 budget request.”

Congress did not complete action on any of the FY2013 budget requests, although the House did pass the Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) appropriations bill that includes NASA.   The bill was reported from the Senate Appropriations Committee, but there was no further action in the 112th Congress.  NASA’s request of $830 million for commercial crew was not approved by the House or the Senate committee in any case.  The House-passed CJS bill approved $500 million and the Senate Appropriations Committee approved $525 million.  Doing the math, if the sequester goes into effect, commercial crew would get $388 million.  NASA says it would not be able to fund planned milestones in the fourth quarter and that would “significantly” delay the program.

NASA’s letter does not discuss any cuts to the Space Launch System or Orion within the Exploration budget account, but the sequester “would adversely impact the infrastructure” needed for those and other NASA activities funded through the Construction and Environmental Compliance and Restoration (CECR) account.

NASA’s science budget would be cut by a comparatively modest $51.1 million from the $4,911.2 million request, reducing funding for new Explorer and Earth Venture class mission selections and reducing research and analysis (R&A) by two percent.   Aeronautics would be cut $7.3 million from its $551.5 million request.

The sequester has been particularly criticized for requiring “across-the-board” cuts meaning that each budget account is cut by the same percentage instead of allowing agencies to prioritize which are the most important activities.  That does not appear to be accurate in NASA’s case, however.   The sequester requires a 5 percent cut for FY2013 for non-defense discretionary budgets like NASA.  The Science budget of $4,911 million would be cut $51 million according to NASA’s letter, closer to 1 percent than 5.  The Exploration budget of $3,933 billion would be cut $332 million, closer to 10 percent and the cut to Space Technology is closer to 20 percent.  Thus it appears that NASA did have some flexibility in allocating the cuts.

 

 

GAO Fears Gaps in Weather Satellite Data As Early As 2014, Adds to High Risk List

GAO Fears Gaps in Weather Satellite Data As Early As 2014, Adds to High Risk List

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released its latest High Risk List today, adding mitigating gaps in weather satellite data to its biennial identification of areas of government operations that are most vulnerable to fraud, waste, abuse or mismanagement or in need of broad-based transformation.

Weather satellite data gaps is one of two new areas this year.  The other is limiting the federal government’s fiscal exposure by better managing climate change risks.

Weather satellites and climate change are two of the 30 High Risk areas listed in the new report.  The other 28 have been on the list for varying periods of time, including NASA Acquisition Management, which first appeared in 1990.   

Mitigating gaps in weather satellite data was added this year because GAO is concerned that potential gaps could occur “as early as 2014 and lasting as long as 53 months.”   The potential gap in NOAA’s weather satellite program in the 2016-2017 timeframe between existing satellites and the launch of the first Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) spacecraft has been studied and discussed at length, but the new GAO report also highlights its June 2012 finding that DOD might experience a gap of its own beginning in 2014.  GAO worries that the two Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) satellites awaiting launch may not perform as planned since they were built long ago (in the 1990s).  “If the satellites do not perform as expected, a data gap in the early morning orbit could occur as early as 2014,” GAO asserts.

As for climate change, GAO stresses that the federal government owns a lot of infrastructure, insures property from flood damage, and provides emergency aid in response to natural disasters and needs a “government-wide strategic approach with strong leadership to manage related risks” associated with climate change.

 

 

 

 

Nelson and Cruz to Head Space Subcommittee, But Heated Exchange Yesterday Points to Rift

Nelson and Cruz to Head Space Subcommittee, But Heated Exchange Yesterday Points to Rift

Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL) will continue to chair the Science and Space Subcommittee of the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee in the current Congress.   Newly-elected Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) will be the top Republican (“Ranking Member”) on the subcommittee, replacing John Boozman (R-AK) who was Ranking Member last Congress.  What type of working relationship Nelson and Cruz will have is uncertain following a heated exchange between the two yesterday during markup of Chuck Hagel’s nomination to be Secretary of Defense.

The Senate Commerce Committee held its organizational meeting today, announcing the Chairs and Ranking Members for each of its seven subcommittees.  It is an authorization committee that sets policy.  Although it may recommend funding levels for agencies like NASA, only the appropriations committee actually has funds to spend.   The members of the Senate Appropriations Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) subcommittee that funds NASA were announced yesterday.

Cruz’s appointment as Ranking Member of the Science and Space Subcommittee will keep Texas in a strong position to affect Senate policy on NASA, though a freshman Senator cannot hope to have the same level of influence as his predecessor, Kay Bailey Hutchison.   Hutchison retired at the end of the 112th Congress.   She was the Ranking Member of the full Senate Commerce Committee as well as the Ranking Member of the Senate Appropriations CJS subcommittee, putting her in a uniquely powerful position on NASA issues.  Nelson and Hutchison worked closely together, jointly writing the 2010 NASA Authorization Act and keeping a watchful eye on how the White House and NASA funded the Space Launch System and Orion spacecraft mandated by that Act.

Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL)

Source:  Sen. Nelson’s website

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)

Source:  Sen. Cruz’s Facebook page

Initial indications are that Nelson and Cruz may not forge such a close relationship.   Both also are members of the Senate Armed Services Committee (SASC) and openly clashed at yesterday’s markup of Hagel’s nomination.   Cruz strongly cricitized Hagel for not providing details of his finances for the past five years and implied Hagel may have been paid by extremist groups.  “We do not know, for example, if he received compensation for giving paid speeches at extreme or radical groups,” he said as part of extensive remarks opposing the nomination.

Nelson was among a number of Democratic Senators angered by Cruz’s statements.   Nelson said: “Mr. Chairman, Senator Cruz has stated his opinion, which he is entitled to.  But I want to put on the record that this Senator feels that Senator Cruz has gone over the line. He basically has impugned the patriotism of the nominee … [saying] in essence, [he was] being cozy with Iran.”  Nelson went on to rebuke Cruz for also suggesting that Hagel was not “truthful with this committee. … There’s a certain degree of comity and civilty that this committee has always been known for.  And clearly, …. to question, in essence, whether somebody is a fellow traveler with another country, I think is taking it too far.”

About two dozen Senate Republicans had asked for Hagel to provide additional financial information, but former SASC Ranking Member John McCain (R-AZ) disagreed with his colleagues, concluding that Hagel already had met the committee’s “rigorous requirements.”  McCain continues to be a member of SASC and a highly respected voice on national security issues.  He had to step down as Ranking Member because of Senate Republican term limit rules.  McCain also opposes Hagel’s nomination and SASC approved the nomination on a party-line vote yesterday.  A vote by the full Senate could occur tomorrow.

 

Nelson Pats Lew on Back for Help with NASA When at OMB

Nelson Pats Lew on Back for Help with NASA When at OMB

Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL) today thanked Jacob (Jack) Lew for his help on NASA issues when Lew was head of the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB).   The exchange took place at Lew’s nomination hearing to become the next Secretary of the Treasury.

Lew has been serving as President Obama’s Chief of Staff since he left OMB.   The move from OMB to the Oval Office took place shortly after Lew brokered an agreement with Nelson and then-Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX) on NASA’s top priorities.  Tensions were high between the Senators and the White House over what the Senators perceived as preferential treatment in NASA’s budget request for the President’s commercial crew initiative over Congress’s Space Launch System (SLS) and Orion spacecraft.  

 

Jacob (Jack) Lew, Treasury Secretary nominee

Source:  White House website

Nelson and Hutchison crafted the 2010 NASA Authorization Act as a compromise between the President’s plan that commercial companies take over crew transportation to low Earth orbit (LEO) and their insistence that NASA immediately begin development of a new large rocket (SLS) and crew spacecraft (Orion) to take astronauts beyond LEO.

Nelson and Hutchison complained loudly that OMB was making decisions about NASA’s FY2012 budget request that favored commercial crew over SLS/Orion in contravention of that compromise.   Hutchison publicly accused the Administration of dragging its feet in announcing the design of SLS, delaying the program.   The logjam was broken in September 2011 after the two Senators insisted on a meeting with NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden and Lew.

At today’s hearing before the Senate Finance Committee, Nelson lauded Lew for his help.  “There was a problem … in that OMB was continuing to try to run this country’s space program,” Nelson said, and Lew made it clear that NASA “got to administratively run the space program without OMB folks saying you do this, you do that” without regard to the authorization act and “I want you to know how much this Senator appreciates it.”   Lew’s reply was a simple “Thank you, sir.”

The outcome of the September 2011 meeting was the decision that NASA’s top three priorities are:  International Space Station/commercial crew; SLS/Orion; and the James Webb Space Telescope.  Whether that set of priorities remains in place as the years pass under constrained budgets is a tale yet to be told.

Space Not Prominent in State of the Union Address, But R&D Gets a Mention

Space Not Prominent in State of the Union Address, But R&D Gets a Mention

President Obama’s State of the Union address last night offered no call to arms to invest in the nation’s space program, or even just robotic Mars exploration, but he did argue for increasing spending on research and development (R&D) to a level “not seen since the Space Race.”

Despite the presence of JPL’s Bobak Ferdowsi — “Mohawk Guy” from the Mars Curiosity landing — in the First Lady’s box, the space program didn’t make the cut for inclusion in the hour-long speech.

Obama did stress the importance of investing in “the best ideas,” but his focus was energy not space.

“If we want to make the best products, we also have to invest in the best ideas. Every dollar we invested to map the human genome returned $140 to our economy. Today, our scientists are mapping the human brain to unlock the answers to Alzheimer’s; developing drugs to regenerate damaged organs; devising new material to make batteries ten times more powerful. Now is not the time to gut these job-creating investments in science and innovation. Now is the time to reach a level of research and development not seen since the height of the Space Race. And today, no area holds more promise than our investments in American energy.”

He talked about climate change as well, but not the role of satellites in studying and monitoring it.  The full text of his speech is on the White House website.

Ferdowsi’s trip wasn’t wasted though.  This morning he, NASA Deputy Administrator Lori Garver and Presidential science adviser John Holdren hosted an event with students on Science, Technology, Engineering and Math (STEM) education.  That was followed by a tweet-up with Ferdowsi, NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden, and White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) staff answering questions.  (Holdren is also the Director of OSTP.)  Ferdowsi tweeted this picture of himself and Bolden.

 

JPL’s Bobak Ferdowsi (“Mohawk Guy”) and NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden (tweeted by Ferdowsi, Feb. 13, 2012)

 

Senate Appropriations Committee Announces Subcommittee Assignments for 113th Congress

Senate Appropriations Committee Announces Subcommittee Assignments for 113th Congress

Senator Barbara Mikulski (D-MD) will retain chairmanship of the Senate Appropriations Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) subcommittee in addition to her new duties as chair of the full appropriations committee.  Similarly, Senator Richard Shelby (R-AL), will pull double duty as the Ranking Member (top Republican) on the full committee and the CJS subcommittee.

Holding the top position on the full committee as well as on a subcommittee is not uncommon on this committee. 

CJS is one of the two appropriations subcommittees with jurisdiction over a significant portion of federal funding for space activities.  The Defense Subcommittee is the other.

Among the agencies funded through CJS are NASA and NOAA.   Mikulski has chaired that subcommittee for several years and Shelby was Ranking Member in the 111th Congress.   During the 112th Congress, Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX) was the Ranking Member.  She retired at the end of that Congress.

The Defense Subcommittee, which funds space programs in the Department of Defense and the Intelligence Community, will be chaired Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) and the Ranking Member is Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS).   Durbin replaces Sen. Daniel Inouye (D-HI), who died in December.   Cochran retains his position as Ranking Member.   Inouye and Cochran were Chair and Ranking Member of the full committee in the last Congress.

The full subcommittee assignment list is on the committee’s website.   The assignments for CJS and Defense are as follows.

Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) Subcommittee

Democrats (9)

  • Sen. Barbara Mikulski (MD)
  • Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)
  • Sen. Dianne Feinstein (CA)
  • Sen. Jack Reed (RI)
  • Sen. Frank Lautenberg (NJ)
  • Sen. Mark Pryor (AR)
  • Sen. Mary Landrieu (LA)
  • Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
  • Sen. Jeff Merkley (OR)

Republicans (8)

  • Sen. Richard Shelby (AL)
  • Sen. Mitch McConnell (KY)
  • Sen. Lamar Alexander (TN)
  • Sen. Susan Collins (ME)
  • Sen. Lisa Murkowski (AK)
  • Sen. Lindsey Graham (SC)
  • Sen. Mark Kirk (IL)
  • Sen. John Boozman (AR)

Defense Subcommittee

Democrats (10)

  • Sen. Dick Durbin (IL)
  • Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT)
  • Sen. Tom Harkin (IA)
  • Sen. Dianne Feinstein (CA)
  • Sen. Barbara Mikulski (MD)
  • Sen. Patty Murray (WA)
  • Sen. Tim Johnson (SD)
  • Sen. Jack Reed (RI)
  • Sen. Mary Landriey (LA)
  • Sen. Mark Pryor (AR)

Republicans (9)

  • Sen. Thad Cochran (MS)
  • Sen. Mitch McConnell (KY)
  • Sen. Richard Shelby (AL)
  • Sen. Lamar Alexander (TN)
  • Sen. Susan Collins (ME)
  • Sen. Lisa Murkowski (AK)
  • Sen. Lindsey Graham (SC)
  • Sen. Daniel Coats (IN)
  • Sen. Roy Blunt (MO)
As Deadline Nears, Sequestration Called "Stupid, Shortsighted"

As Deadline Nears, Sequestration Called "Stupid, Shortsighted"

At a press conference today, the President of the Association of American Universities, Hunter Rawlings, called the sequester “stupid” and “shortsighted.”  The press conference brought the aerospace and defense industry together with groups representing health funding and research universities to raise more warning flags about the across-the-board federal spending cuts known as the sequester, which will go into effect 18 days from now unless Congress acts to postpone or replace it.

As we reported yesterday, this could be called “sequestration week” in Washington with just about everyone’s attention focused on what will happen if those dire federal spending cuts go into effect on March 1 as dictated under existing law. Congress will be in recess next week, and will return with only four days left before that deadline, making this week prime time for affected groups to make their case.

Congress postponed the sequester from January 2 to March 1 as part of the year-end fiscal cliff debate.  It can be postponed indefinitely if all parties agree.  It was included in the 2011 Budget Control Act as a “poison pill” whose impact would be so catastrophic that politicians would be forced to find another way to reduce the deficit rather than let it happen.   That strategy has failed so far.

The White House issued a fact sheet on Friday that clarifies the percentages by which discretionary budgets will have to be reduced as part of the effort to rein in the deficit. The federal budget is divided into discretionary and mandatory spending.  Mandatory spending means money for entitlement programs (Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid etc) and paying interest on the national debt, for example.  Discretionary spending is everything else, broken down into two categories — defense and non-defense. “Defense” is actually more broadly defined as “security” spending and includes not only the Department of Defense, but nuclear weapons activities of the Department of Energy, the Intelligence Community, homeland security and similar programs.  Non-defense includes NASA, NOAA, and most other government agencies with which the public is familiar.  

Earlier guidance from the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) was that defense accounts would be cut 9.4 percent and non-defense accounts by 8.2 percent. OMB’s most recent calculations are that defense cuts will be about 8 percent and non-defense about 5 percent. However, for the current fiscal year, FY2013, it will be an effective cut of 13 percent for defense and 9 percent for non-defense since the fiscal year already is underway and cuts must be absorbed in 7 months instead of 12.   A total of $85 billion would be cut from FY2013 discretionary spending.  The cuts are “across-the-board” meaning that each budget account is cut by the same percentage.  Agencies do not have the opportunity to prioritize which programs are more important than others.

The Aerospace Industries Association (AIA) has been leading a relentless campaign to inform the public and policymakers about the dire consequences of such cuts on aerospace and defense companies. While AIA talks about cuts to both defense and non-defense spending, the focus of concern by that group and others, and many House Republicans, to date has been the potential cuts to defense. Considerably less attention has been paid to NASA, NOAA, the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the National Science Foundation (NSF), and the multitude of other non-defense discretionary agencies.

This morning, however, AIA teamed with groups that are working together through NDD United (Non-Defense Discretionary United) at a press conference to underscore the effects not only of sequestration, but of the likelihood of a year-long Continuing Resolution (CR), on all discretionary spending.

The government is currently funded under a CR that will expire on March 27.  It holds agencies to their FY2012 funding levels and today’s betting is that instead of dealing with the FY2013 budget request President Obama submitted to Congress a year ago, Congress will simply extend the CR for the rest of FY2013.  That will render moot the President’s FY2013 request to reprioritize some programs and initiate new ones, as well as holding spending to the FY2012 levels.  (Meanwhile, some in Congress are criticizing the President for being late with his FY2014 budget request, which should have been submitted on February 4.   Since Congress has yet to act on the FY2013 budget request, it is a curious complaint.  The White House is having understandable difficulty determining what to request not knowing the fate of the FY2013 request or the sequester and has not told Congress when the FY2014 request will be sent forward.  Defense News reports today that the Department of Defense has a tentative date of March 25 for sending its request to Congress.)

AIA President and CEO Marion Blakey stressed that federal budget cuts already have resulted in layoffs at many of AIA’s defense and aerospace companies. The 10-year defense budget was cut $487 billion by the 2011 Budget Control Act, she reminded everyone, causing “immediate and serious drags on the economy” that are part of the reason for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) falling into negative territory for the first time in four years. If sequestration goes into effect on top of those cuts, the impact on the nation’s economy will be serious. “There is remarkable unanimity that sequestration is terrible policy. It will result in a hollow force for our military and force our economy back into recession,” she argued.

Hunter Rawlings, President of the Association of American Universities (AAU), was much more blunt saying the sequester “is stupid, it is shortsighted, and should not happen.”  AAU represents 60 leading U.S. research universities. Peter McPherson, President of the Association of Public and Land-grant Universities (APLU) — a group of 200 public research universities — said sequestration is a “reckless and blunt tool” that would mean $10 billion less in government support for research and development (R&D) in FY2013 alone, and $90 billion through FY2021.  Noting that other countries, like China, are increasing not decreasing R&D spending, he called sequestration “penny wise and pound foolish” and a threat to American innovation.

The group as a whole agreed that the deficit needs to be reduced, but did not offer a solution.  Instead, their message is that discretionary spending should not have to foot the bill by itself.  Cuts to all federal spending, discretionary and mandatory, as well as revenue increases, must be considered, they agreed.  AIA Chairman and Northrop Grumman CEO and President Wes Bush said that the aerospace and defense industry has “long called for a balanced approach. … We know you can’t just pull one lever. You have to reach and pull all the levers available to our nation to deal with this. Unfortunately, what we’ve seen today is primarily … a pulling of the lever on discretionary budgets [but] … everything has to be on the table to make sure we make good decisions about the future of our country.”

AIA and NDD United each sent letters to Congress today signed by their member organizations.  The letters and other information are posted on the Second To None website.

Meanwhile, Air Force Space Command (AFSC) Commander Gen. William Shelton spelled out the effects the sequester would have on Air Force space programs.  As reported in today’s SatNews, a memo from AFSC to the Air Force Deputy Assistant Secretary for Budget listed the following actions that would be forced by the sequester: 

  • reduce some missile warning and space surveillance 24/7 operations to 8/7
  • reduce by 75 percent sustaining an older communications satellite constellation
  • suspend Air Force-wide engineering and installation work that includes a SATCOM facility
  • terminate Global Combat Support System-hosted applications including Nuclear Weapons Material Tracking Capability and Explosive Ordinance Disposal Management System
  • prioritize and curtail and/or cancel operational training exercises and international partner exercises
  • reduce Professional Military Education and Mission Readiness Training quotas

Four congressional hearings are planned this week to look at various aspects of the impact of the sequester and/or a full-year CR.  See our “Space Policy Events of Interest: February 11-15, 2013” article for details.