Author: Marcia Smith

NASA Sets Briefings for Tomorrow on Planets, Commercial Crew

NASA Sets Briefings for Tomorrow on Planets, Commercial Crew

Today NASA announced two press briefings that will take place tomorrow, Tuesday, December 20.

  • One will be an announcement of new discoveries by NASA’s Kepler space telescope that is searching for planets around other stars — exoplanets.   Participants in the news teleconference at 1:00 pm EST (listen to the live stream at http://www.nasa.gov/newsaudio) are:
    • Nick Gautier, Kepler project scientist, NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, Calif.
    • Francois Fressin, lead author, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in Cambridge, Mass.
    • David Charbonneau, professor of astronomy, Harvard University
    • Linda Elkins-Tanton, director of the Carnegie Institution for Science’s Department of Terrestrial Magnetism in Washington.
  • The other is on a completely different topic — a status report on NASA’s commercial crew program (thanks to NASAWatch for publicizing it).   That “forum” will be held at Kennedy Space Center in Florida from 11:00 – 11:30 am EST (note that the original announcement incorrectly said it ended at 11:30 pm, but was later modified).  From the description, it sounds like a very brief recap of the announcement last week about the new commercial crew strategy.
SpacePolicyOnline.com Unveils Revamped Website

SpacePolicyOnline.com Unveils Revamped Website

Today marks the launch of our revamped website.  The event should be seamless, but if you encounter any difficulties, please let us know at info@spacepolicyonline.com or marcia.s.smith@gmail.com.

WHAT WE KEPT

Based on the many positive comments we’ve received over the past two years, we’ve kept the same look and feel.  Our web address is the same and if you are getting our RSS feed nothing should change.   You will still be able to access all the free content to which you are accustomed — our objective, non-partisan reporting and analysis; handy fact sheets, hearing and meeting summaries; lists of GAO, NRC and other reports of interest; and a listing of events of interest to the space policy community.

WHAT’S NEW

  • SHARE YOUR VIEWS:  You can now post comments using Disqus.   We encourage debate, but ask that everyone keep his or her  remarks professional and dignified.   Passion is OK, vitriol – no.  As we state at the bottom of the Disqus comment box, SpacePolicyOnline.com has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
  • SIGN UP FOR A DAILY EMAIL NOTIFICATION:  As requested, you can now sign up for daily emails to keep apprised of new stories that we’ve posted.  In the blue bar at the top of our home page, click the envelope icon and enter your email address.   We don’t do anything with your email address; this service is provided automatically through Feedburner.
  • SEARCH MORE EASILY:   Our search box is in the same place (top right), but the search engine recognizes longer strings of characters, making searching much easier. 
  • VIEW EVENTS OF INTEREST AS A LIST:   We’ve replaced the calendar on our home page with a list of upcoming events, but if you liked the calendar format, you can still see one by clicking on the “full calendar with filters” link at the bottom of the list.
  • SHARE USING EMAIL, SOCIAL MEDIA AND OTHER TOOLS:  You can now easily share our stories with others via Twitter, Facebook and other e-tools.  We’ve also made it easier for you to follow us on Twitter or Facebook by using the now-familiar icons on the top right of the home page.    If you don’t use Twitter yourself, you can see what we are tweeting and retweeting right there on our home page.  Twitter is a terrific news feed and we find lots of interesting tweets by others to retweet and bring to your attention, so please check our “Twitter widget” throughout the day.
  • ADVERTISE ON SPACEPOLICYONLINE.COM:   Contact us at info@spacepolicyonline.com for details. 

WHAT’S COMING

Soon we will be offering premium reports for purchase on a per-report basis or by subscription.  Building on the tradition of Congressional Research Service (CRS) reports that SpacePolicyOnline.com founder and editor Marcia Smith wrote for more than three decades, our premium reports will provide objective and non-partisan information and analysis about commercial, military and civil space policy and programs in the United States and around the world.  Stay tuned for details!

We’re excited about the new site and hope you are, too.   With best wishes to you and yours for happy holidays and a sparkling New Year!

Marcia Smith and Laura Delgado

Events of Interest: Weeks of December 19-31, 2011

Events of Interest: Weeks of December 19-31, 2011

As the year winds down, most of us are worried about holiday shopping and what our New Year’s resolutions should be.  Thus, there is only one space-policy related event of which we are aware for these final two weeks of 2011 — plus a human spaceflight launch.  However, Congress is still in session, so one needs to keep an eye on what they may do.

During the Week

The House and Senate schedules for the next two weeks are uncertain.  On Friday and Saturday, they cleared the Consolidated Appropriations bill that funds the rest of the government through September 30, 2012 and other measures.   One issue — extension of the payroll tax holiday — remains unresolved, however.   The House passed a version on Friday, the Senate passed a different version on Saturday, House Republicans have said they do not like the Senate version and plan to vote on another version late Monday.  What will happen after that is unclear.   There appears to be agreement to extend the “tax break for the middle class,” but how to pay for it and what other issues (“riders”) might be wrapped into it (e.g., the controversial proposed oil pipeline between Canada and the Gulf Coast), are being hotly debated.   From a space policy standpoint, the major issue is whether such legislation might include a rescission from already appropriated FY2012 funds for agencies like NASA and NOAA.   Those agencies dodged one bullet on Saturday when the Senate did not agree to a House-passed resolution to do just that, but anything can happen as long as Congress is in session.

Wednesday, December 21

Senate Does Not Agree to Further Cuts to NASA, NOAA

Senate Does Not Agree to Further Cuts to NASA, NOAA

The Senate passed the appropriations bill funding the rest of the government through September 2012 as well as another bill increasing funds for disaster aid and recovery, but did not agree to a House plan to fund the disaster aid by reducing FY2012 funds for most government agencies including NASA and NOAA.

The latter measure, called a rescission, was contained in H. Con. Res. 94 and would have meant a 1.83 percent cut to funding for agencies like NASA and NOAA from the amounts already provided for FY2012.   By a vote of 43 – 56, the resolution did not reach the required 60 vote threshold to proceed to consideration.

Rescinding funds is a common method used by Congress to meet planned budget targets or achieve other budgetary goals and can be done at any time, but for now, NASA and NOAA appear to be saved from such a cut. 

Congress was expected to adjourn for the year on Friday, but the Senate votes took place on Saturday, and the House will return to work on Monday to resolve an outstanding item of business that needs to be resolved before the end of the year — whether to continue a payroll tax cut for the middle class.   House Republicans passed a measure to continue the payroll tax cut for two months, but tied it to forcing President Obama to make a decision within 60 days on a plan to build an oil pipeline from Canada to the Gulf Coast.  The President is waiting for environmental studies before approving the proposal.

Government Shutdown Probably Averted Once More

Government Shutdown Probably Averted Once More

House and Senate negotiators have reached agreement on the remaining FY2012 appropriations bills.

House Appropriations Committee chairman Hal Rogers (R-KY) issued the statement late last night.

The 1,200 page, $1 trillion package — the Consolidated Appropriations bill — is expected to pass Congress today and be signed into law promptly, averting a shutdown that otherwise would have occurred at midnight for most government agencies, including the Department of Defense

Congress Still Trying to Wrap Up Work

Congress Still Trying to Wrap Up Work

 

Bipartisan bickering may keep Congress working past tomorrow to complete work on FY2012 appropriations bills and deal with other key issues.  One bright spot is that the final version of the defense authorization bill passed the House yesterday and is expected to pass the Senate today.

Authorization bills only recommend funding, of course, they do not actually provide it.   Only appropriations bills contain money for agencies to spend.   The Department of Defense (DOD) is one of many federal entities whose FY2012 funding is still in abeyance.   It and others are operating under a Continuing Resolution (CR) that expires tomorrow at midnight.

Washington is once more worrying about a government shutdown, though in this case at least a few federal agencies – including NASA and NOAA – would not be affected since their FY2012 funding is approved already.  Their funding is part of a minibus bill signed into law last month that combined three of the 12 regular appropriations bills (Agriculture, Commerce-Justice-Science, and Transportation-HUD).

The remaining nine appropriations bills are bundled together at the moment, but unrelated policy disputes are holding up final action. Extending the payroll tax holiday for middle income families, raising taxes on the wealthy, a pipeline deal, and a pot pourri of other topics on which Republicans and Democrats are bitterly divided may make final action impossible in the next day or two.

The House Appropriations Committee introduced a package of three bills yesterday – a Consolidated  Appropriations bill (H.R. 3671) that combines the remaining nine regular appropriations bills; a disaster aid and recovery assistance bill (H.R. 3672); and a bill that contains offsets for the disaster funding (H. Con. Res. 94).

The prospect of a new, very short-term CR to fund those government agencies that are covered by the expiring CR through the weekend is being discussed.  Under this scenario, members would return next week instead of going home for the holidays tomorrow as planned.

Even those agencies whose budgets are passed are not entirely safe from the budget axe.   Congress not only gives money, but it can take it back through a “rescission.”   Across-the-board rescissions are quite common as Congress tries to reach some budget target it has set for itself or pay for new initiatives or disaster relief.    H. Con. Res. 94, for example, contains a 1.83 percent across-the-board rescission to all FY2012 discretionary spending except DOD, Military Construction and Veterans Affairs.   That means NASA and NOAA would be hit by the rescission if the resolution passes.

GAO Gives NASA Good Marks for ISS Spares Planning

GAO Gives NASA Good Marks for ISS Spares Planning

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) generally gave NASA good marks in a report released today for its planning for spare parts to enable the International Space Station to continue operating at least until 2020.

The only caveat GAO offered is that NASA needs to continually assess its needs as it gains more experience with ISS operations over the next decade.

The report says:

“NASA’s approach to determining, obtaining, and delivering necessary spare parts to the ISS is reasonable to ensure continued utilization of the station through 2020. The statistical process and methodology being used to determine the expected lifetimes of replacement units is a sound and commonly accepted approach within the risk assessment community that considers both manufacturers’ predictions and the systems’ actual performance. To date NASA has given equal weight to manufacturers’ predictions and actual performance, and currently has no plans to reassess this decision. However, as time goes on, the resulting estimates could prove to be overly conservative, given that NASA has found failure rates for replacement units to be lower than manufacturers’ predictions. Therefore, continuing to weigh the manufacturers’ predictions equally with actual performance could lead NASA to purchase an excess of spares. NASA also has a reasonable process for establishing performance goals for various functions necessary for utilization and determining whether available spares are sufficient to meet goals through 2020, but the rationale supporting these decisions has not been systematically documented.

“NASA is also using reasonable analytical tools to assess structural health and determine whether ISS hardware can operate safely through 2020. On the basis of prior analysis of structural life usage through 2015 and the robust design of the ISS structures, NASA currently anticipates that—with some mitigation—the ISS will remain structurally sound for continued operations through 2020. NASA also is using reasonable methodologies, governed by agency directives and informed by NASA program experts, to assess safe operations of the ISS as a whole as well as identify replacement units and other hardware, failure of which could result in an increased risk of loss of station or loss of crew through 2020. NASA plans to develop, through 2015, methods to mitigate issues identified and expects to begin implementing corrective actions as plans are put in place.”

NASA Changes Course on Commercial Crew — Congress Tepid, Industry Thrilled

NASA Changes Course on Commercial Crew — Congress Tepid, Industry Thrilled

On the same day that the Government Accountability Office (GAO) praised NASA for adopting a firm fixed price contract approach for the next phase of its commercial crew program, NASA announced that it changed its mind and will stick with its current Space Act Agreement (SAA) procurement strategy instead.   The agency also officially acknowledged that a funding shortfall for commercial crew in FY2012 means that commercial crew services will not be available until at least 2017 and therefore it will need to purchase more seats on Russian Soyuz spacecraft to get astronauts to and from the ISS.  NASA’s current contract with Russia ends in 2016.

Driven by budget uncertainty that makes the firm fixed price contract procurement strategy unattractive, NASA Associate Administrator for Human Exploration and Operations Bill Gerstenmaier said he will continue to use SAAs for the next phase of work.  SAAs allow the agency to pay companies for meeting agreed-upon milestones, but not for NASA to have close oversight of what the companies are doing.   NASA has set its requirements for taking astronauts to and from the ISS, but with the modest authority it has over SAAs, could not direct a company to meet them, for example.   It is possible, therefore, for companies to misunderstand a NASA requirement, develop a system based on the misunderstanding, and not realize it until a formal contract is issued when it might be too late or too expensive to remedy.

The need to have close interactions with the companies vying to build commercial crew systems was stressed by NASA earlier this year when it announced that it no long would use SAAs for this purpose.   The agency insisted that at this phase of the program, it needed to use traditional contract procurement.   Gerstenmaier said today that budget realities changed his mind.

Gerstenmaier explained that when the agency looked out for the next several years at the budget uncertainty it faces, signing firm fixed price contracts simply would not work.   The plan had been to issue a request for proposals (RFP) this coming Monday and announce multiple winners next summer.  

Ironically, GAO released a report today congratulating NASA for its earlier decision to use traditional contracts:  “Among the good practices NASA adopted in its planned approach is the use of firm-fixed-price, performance-based contracts for the remaining program phases.”  Overall, however, the congressional watchdog agency was pessimistic about the commercial crew program’s chances for success for a variety of reasons from the aggressive schedule to the lower-than-requested funding levels.

Under the revised plan announced today, NASA will issue an announcement for proposals in January, though Gerstenmaier indicated that many of the details have yet to be determined.   The goal still is to announce the winners by next summer. He is hopeful that there will be at least two winners to ensure there is competition in this business to keep prices down.   Others argue that there simply is not enough human spaceflight business to keep two companies profitable and NASA should be thinking in terms of a single supplier.

The agreements would cover 21 months of work.  Because the agency received only $406 million instead of the $850 million requested for FY2012 to support the commercial crew program, Gerstenmaier said that the earliest such services will be available now will be 2017 instead of 2015 or 2016 as earlier projected.

Nonetheless, he thanked Congress for the $406 million, saying it was more than the number that appeared in earlier versions of appropriations legislation.    He added that Congress had been briefed on this new plan, and they “understand our position and our logic.”

Reaction from Congress has been tepid, however.    Rep. Ralph Hall (R-TX), chairman of the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, said in a statement that he “continues to be concerned about NASA’s ability to afford contracting with two or more companies” and he hopes “that two commercial companies would team together to jointly develop a cost-effective and safe launch system.”   He added that he plans to hold hearings early next year on this issue.

His Democratic counterpart, Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson (D-TX), ranking member of the committee, similarly sounded a cautious note.  Saying that she was “sympathetic” to the challenges facing NASA, she worries that “NASA’s plan does not appear to contain sufficient margins and other risk reduction measures to give Congress confidence that it has a high probability” of being able to obtain commercial crew services “by 2016 or even 2017.”

Gerstenmaier’s acknowledgement that 2017 is the earliest date by when commercial crew will be ready means that NASA definitely will have to purchase additional crew launch services from Russia.   With the termination of the space shuttle program, Russia is the only country that can take astronauts to and from the ISS using its Soyuz spacecraft launched on Soyuz rockets.   Soyuz spacecraft also serve as lifeboats for the ISS.

Under the Iran, North Korea, Syria Nonproliferation Act (INKSNA), NASA is not allowed to pay Russia for anything connected with the ISS program.  When it nonetheless must pay Russia for services associated with the ISS, it needs to convince Congress to grant a waiver from that law.   It most recently did so in 2008, which allowed NASA to sign a contract with Russia last year for services through the spring of 2016.

Gerstenmaier told Congress in October that NASA expected to need another INKSNA waiver for other ISS-related services even if commercial crew was ready by 2016.   He added that NASA had begun working the issue within the Administration and was not certain when the request would be sent to Congress, but the waiver would be needed in the 2013 time frame.   He reiterated that today.

Also in October while Congress was debating NASA’s FY2012 appropriations bill, NASA Deputy Administrator Lori Garver said that NASA would have to pay Russia $450 million a year for every year of delay in the availability of commercial crew.

Gerstenmaier said today that NASA made this decision on its own, without consulting with the companies who are working on commercial crew.   However, the Commercial Spaceflight Federation, an industry association, heralded the decision, enthusing that using SAAs would “shorten the gap in U.S. access to space, help spur additional private investment, reduce America’s dependence on Russia, save taxpayer money, ensure the future of the International Space Station, and increase industry competition.”

Senate Passes Defense Authorization Bill

Senate Passes Defense Authorization Bill

The Senate passed the FY2012 National Defense Authorization Act (H.R. 1540) about an hour ago, clearing the measure for the President.

President Obama dropped his threat to veto the bill earlier this week after Congress modified language to which he objected concerning how terrorist detainees would be handled. 

The bill authorizes funding for the Department of Defense and nuclear weapons activities at the Department of Energy.  The companion appropriations bill, which actually provides money for DOD and DOE to spend, is still working its way through Congress.   Members of Congress quoted in various media sources this afternoon sounded more optimistic than this morning that they would be able to complete work on the FY2012 appropriations bills by tomorrow when the current Continuing Resolution expires.

White House Drops Veto Threat of Defense Authorization Bill

White House Drops Veto Threat of Defense Authorization Bill

The Obama White House announced today that it was satisfied with changes made to the defense authorization bill during conference and no longer would veto it should it pass Congress.

The veto threat was issued over language concerning how terrorist detainees would be handled.  The language that passed the Senate would have put them all under military control.  The revised language makes clear that it does not apply to U.S. citizens or infringe on the authority of the Federal Bureau of Investigation.

The conference version of the bill (H.R. 1540) was printed in the Congressional Record on Monday, and the joint statement of the conferees (which explains why they did what they did) is available on the House Rules Committee’s website.

Multiple media sources reported late this afternoon that White House Press Secretary Carney had issued a statement lifting the veto threat, but it does not yet appear to be on the White House website.