Category: International

More Russian Space Woes Likely to Delay Next ISS Crew Launch, Commercial Proton Launches

More Russian Space Woes Likely to Delay Next ISS Crew Launch, Commercial Proton Launches

Problems in Russia’s aerospace sector are still hampering its space program on which the United States and global commercial satellite companies increasingly rely.   The next Soyuz spacecraft slated to launch a crew to the International Space Station (ISS) apparently was damaged beyond repair during recent testing, while commercial Proton launches are on hold because of technical issues.

Last year, Russia experienced five launch failures, including a Soyuz rocket that was intended to send a Progress cargo spacecraft to the ISS.   A multi-week delay in launching a three-person ISS crew resulted as Russian experts worked to ensure that a very similar Soyuz rocket was indeed safe to take people into space.

The spacecraft that carries crew members is also named Soyuz, and on Friday Russia announced that the Soyuz spacecraft assigned for the next crew launch, expected on March 30, failed a test.  Anatoly Zak at RussianSpaceWeb.com reports today that Russian industry sources and the website Novosti Kosmonavtiki (Space News) are indicating that during testing the spacecraft was pressurized “up to 3 atmospheres, instead of the nominal 1.3-1.5 atmospheres….The bad quality of materials in the spacecraft…had also been suspected.  Another report surfaced on January 29, 2012 … that a welding line on the descent module had broken as a result of the internal pressure” and the “descent module was damaged beyond repair.”  Zak estimates that the next launch might be delayed until the end of April at the earliest if a decision is made to use a replacement descent module.

At the same time, a Proton rocket had to be rolled back from the launch pad days before launch for a second time.   Intended to launch a commercial communications satellite, SES-4 (or NSS-14), the launch was supposed to take place in December.  A day before before launch, a problem was detected that required the rocket to be removed from the pad for repair.  The launch was rescheduled for January 28, but once again had to be scrubbed.  This time it reportedly is a problem with a transit cable in the Proton’s first stage that will require partial disassembly of the vehicle per RussianSpaceWeb.com and the rocket again must be rolled back from the pad.  A new date for the SES-4 launch has not been announced. The date of the next commercial Proton launch, of a Sirius radio broadcasting satellite, is also in doubt.

Until recently, Russian rockets and spacecraft had a reputation for reliability.  The number of problems now surfacing raises serious questions about the health of the Russian aerospace industry just when the United States has become completely reliant on Russia to keep the ISS crewed.  The U.S. government’s decision to terminate the space shuttle last year with no U.S. system to replace it means that NASA must purchase services from Russia for crew transportation to and from the ISS and for providing a “lifeboat” capability so crews can escape in an emergency.   The commercial satellite sector also relies heavily on Russia’s commercial launch services.  In 2010, Russia conducted 13 commercial launches, compared to six for Europe’s Arianespace and four for the United States, according to The Space Report 2011.

Last month, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin appointed Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin to investigate the problems in the Russian space industry and determine solutions.  Russia’s space agency, Roscosmos, was due to report to Rogozin at the end of last week on the space industry’s challenges, but no stories have appeared in the Russia media yet to indicate that such meetings took place.   The commission investigating the failure of the Phobos-Grunt Mars mission also was supposed to issue its conclusions last week.  On January 26, Russia’s news agency Itar-Tass said the report was completed and would be submitted to Roscosmos director Vladimir Popovkin today (Sunday) and made public this coming week.

Romney Shares Nothing New About Space, Wants Advice First

Romney Shares Nothing New About Space, Wants Advice First

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney added nothing new about his plans for the space program during a brief speech in Cape Canaveral, FL.

Romney repeated what he said during two primary debates on Monday and last night that he wants to hear advice from scientists, industrialists, defense experts and NASA before making any decisions.

Calling President Obama’s space program a failure, he asserted it was time to have a “vision for a space program for the people of the United States of America.”   If this was the politics of the past, he said, he would come to the Space Coast and promise billions of dollars and lay out what his mission is, “but I’m not going to do that.”  Referring to his experience in the private sector, he said that before making tough decisions, work has to be done in terms of defining objectives, getting data and hypotheses to determine the choices, and only then selecting an objective and finding a leader to deliver it.  His remark about promising billions of dollars appeared to be a swipe at his rival, Newt Gingrich, who make a speech on Wednesday doing just that.

He outlined what he sees as four objectives of the space program, calling each of them a “critical priority”:   the “existential” objective of understanding the universe and its effects on the Earth, such as climate or the possibility of a “catastrophic event”; commercial; the health and well-being of citizens; and defense.   Collectively, those objectives make the space program “an integral part of America’s exceptionalism.”

Romney paid tribute to those lost in the space shuttle Challenger tragedy, which occurred 26 years ago tomorrow.  Saying that we must not forget the sacrifices made for the space program, he told the story of visiting a Boy Scout troop in Massachusetts a couple of years ago and hearing a story about the American flag sitting in the room.    The flag had first flown above the U.S. Capitol and then the troop decided they wanted it to fly on the space shuttle.   They arranged to do that and it flew on Challenger and the scouts watched the shuttle “explode before their very eyes.”  Later, the Troop Leader contacted NASA to determine if any remnants of the flag survived.   After many months, the flag was returned “in perfect condition” although some medallions that had been in the container next to it were melted and fused together.  He said “it was like electricity” when he touched the flag, thinking of the sacrifices that made been made.

Most of the rest of the speech, which lasted only about 15 minutes, was standard campaign fare.

As reported here earlier today, a letter in support of Romney was posted on the candidate’s website today from a group of well known space policy veterans.  The group is led by Scott Pace, Director of George Washington University’s Space Policy Institute, who is identified in the letter as head of Romney’s space policy advisory group.   Others who signed include former NASA Administrator Mike Griffin and former astronauts Gene Cernan and Bob Crippen.

Romney's Turn to Lay Out Space Goals; Scott Pace Heading Romney's Space Policy Team-UPDATE

Romney's Turn to Lay Out Space Goals; Scott Pace Heading Romney's Space Policy Team-UPDATE

UPDATEFlorida Today says it will cover Romney’s visit to Astrotech live, and is already running video apparently from that location.

Mitt Romney’s website still has him scheduled to appear at the Astrotech facility in Cape Canaveral, FL this afternoon at 4:45 pm ET where he is expected to expand on his plans for the space program if he is elected.  Meanwhile, a letter posted on Romney’s website reveals that Scott Pace is heading his space policy advisory team.

Last night at the CNN Florida Republican presidential primary debate in Jacksonville, all four Republican presidential candidates, including Romney, were given an opportunity to expound about the space program.  Romney’s current chief opponent in the race, Newt Gingrich, presented his bold plan for space — including a lunar base by 2020 — at a speech on Wednesday.   Last night, a member of audience asked what the candidates’ plans were for “manned space flight and the future of NASA” and moderator Wolf Blitzer expanded the question to bring in views about Gingrich’s lunar base proposal.

Romney called it “an enormous expense.”   Saying he believes “in a very vibrant and strong space program” and wants to bring together experts to advise him about it, he cautioned that he is “not looking for a colony on the moon.  I think the cost of that would be in the hundreds of billions if not trillions.  I’d rather be rebuilding housing here in the U.S.”

This afternoon’s event is listed on his website as scheduled for 4:45-6:00 pm at Astrotech’s facility at 620 Magellan Road, Cape Canaveral.  Edward Ellegood of Florida Space Report tweeted that he expects Romney to introduce some of the experts he plans to consult. 

The Romney campaign may have tipped its hand already, posting a letter of support from some well known players in the space policy arena.  The authors of the letter assert that Romney will “restore America’s space program.”  The letter was signed by Scott Pace, Director of George Washington University’s Space Policy Institute and who served as a NASA Associate Administrator under former NASA Administrator Mike Griffin.  Griffin also signed the letter.   Pace is identified as “chair of the Romney Space Policy Advisory Group” and interestingly does not mention his NASA service, but notes his earlier tenure at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.   Others who signed are Mark Albrecht, former Executive Director of the White House National Space Council under the first President Bush; former astronauts Gene Cernan and Bob Crippen; Peter Marquez, formerly on the staff of the White House National Security Council under the second President Bush and in the early years of the Obama Administration (he is credited with pulling together President Obama’s National Space Policy); Eric Anderson of Space Adventures; and William Martel from Tufts University.   

 

Soyuz Descent Module Fails Testing; ISS Launches May Be Delayed

Soyuz Descent Module Fails Testing; ISS Launches May Be Delayed

Russia’s news agency Itar-Tass reports today that the descent module of the next Soyuz spacecraft scheduled for launch to the International Space Station (ISS) experienced a failure during testing.   Initial Russian media reports said that future flights to the ISS would be delayed, but a more recent report says that no decisions have been made yet.

The Itar-Tass story posted at 15:15 today quotes Russian space agency (Roscosmos) official Alexei Krasnov as disputing earlier Russian media reports that the Soyuz TMA–04M launch would be delayed for several weeks from its current launch date of March 30.  He agreed that problems did occur during a test in an altitude test chamber at the Energia Space Rocket Corporation, but that it was a problem with a “service element” and not the descent capsule itself. 

Krasnov was quoted as saying “The deformation of a service system was detected. The committee was formed and is investigating how seriously the malfunction was: whether it was a material defect or technologies. Probably, next week some decisions will be taken.”   He did not dispute that a schedule delay might result, but downplayed the significance of such a slip.

The three ISS crewmembers scheduled to be launched on Soyuz TMA-04M are Russians Gennady Padakla and Sergei Rivin and NASA astronaut Joseph Acaba.     

Santorum Cancels Space Coast Visit, but Romney Still On–UPDATE

Santorum Cancels Space Coast Visit, but Romney Still On–UPDATE

UPDATE (Jan. 26, 2012, 7:20 pm ET):    Edward Ellegood @FLspacereport tweets that the Romney visit to Astrotech will now be at 4:45 pm ET tomorrow instead of 3:00. 

ORIGINAL STORY:  Rick Santorum, one of Newt Gingrich’s rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, has canceled his scheduled appearance on Saturday at the Space Coast Tiger Bay luncheon according to Florida Today.  Another rival, Mitt Romney, still plans to visit Cape Canaveral tomorrow, however.

Gingrich visited the area yesterday and laid out his bold plans for the future of the space program.  He and Romney had previewed their visions for space activities during the Republican primary debate on Monday.  Santorum and Ron Paul, the fourth candidate remaining in the contest, were not asked about space during that debate, but Santorum had been expected to share his views at Saturday’s event.     Florida Today quotes a Santorum campaign volunteer as saying only that she was notifed Santorum would be out of town and unable to attend the luncheon.

Meanwhile, Romney will visit Astrotech in Cape Canaveral at 3:00 pm ET tomorrow, Florida Today reports.  The event is open to the public. 

Another Republican presidential primary debate is scheduled for tonight in Jacksonville, FL at 8:00 pm ET.  It will be carried on CNN.  The Florida Republican primary will be held on January 31.

ESA Confirms Phobos-Grunt Reentry Location

ESA Confirms Phobos-Grunt Reentry Location

The European Space Agency (ESA) confirmed today that Russia’s Phobos-Grunt (Phobos-soil) Mars mission reentered off the South American coastline on January 15 as earlier reported.

ESA coordinated the activities of the Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination Committee (IADC) that coordinates activities related to monitoring space debris.  Members include ESA and the space agencies of individual European countries, Russia, the United States, China, Canada, Japan, Ukraine and India.   ESA said today that —

“Following the 15 January Phobos–Grunt reentry, the US Strategic Command confirmed a reentry time of 17:46 GMT, referring to an altitude of 80 km at 46°S and 87°W, near the South American coastline. This corresponds to a pass at 10 km altitude about seven minutes later – very close to ESA’s prediction.

“’While this was an uncontrolled reentry, the location of the potential impact area was largely over ocean, with a correspondingly low probability of any detrimental effects,’ said Prof. Heiner Klinkrad, Head of ESA’s Space Debris Office in Darmstadt, Germany.”

Phobos-Grunt was intended to go to Mars and return to Earth a sample of its moon Phobos.   The spacecraft successfully reached Earth orbit after launch on November 8, 2011 (Eastern Standard Time), but its engines never fired to send it on its way to Mars.   It reentered Earth’s atmosphere on January 15, 2012.   Russia’s space agency, Roscosmos, predicted it would reenter over the Atlantic, but Russia’s defense ministry reported that it came down in the Pacific west of Chile.  Confirmation of the time and location of reentry has been eagerly awaited by many in the space community since then and the delay in the announcement led to various rumors.

Russia established a commission to investigate the Phobos-Grunt failure chaired by Yuri Koptev.   It was scheduled to make its report to Roscosmos earlier this week and the results to be made public tomorrow (January 26).

Gingrich Wants Moon Base by 2020, Mars Colony, New Propulsion, Prizes-UPDATE

Gingrich Wants Moon Base by 2020, Mars Colony, New Propulsion, Prizes-UPDATE

UPDATE:  C-Span.org has posted a video of Gingrich’s remarks, which begin at 1:56 into the recording.

Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich delivered a speech on Wednesday in Cocoa, FL about his plans for the space program.   It laid out bold goals with an emphasis on using prizes to entice private investment in space activities.

He promised a permanent base on the Moon by the “end of my second term” as president, which would be 2020.  He envisions commercial near-earth activiities including tourism, science, and manufacturing.  By the end of 2020, he said, human trips to Mars could be accomplished using “continuous propulsion” that could make the trip in a “remarkably short time because I am sick of being told we have to be timid and … we have to be limited to technologies that are 50 years old.”   He wants 10 percent of the NASA budget set aside for funding prizes that would spur private investment, specifically suggesting a $10 billion prize for sending people to Mars.

Gingrich cited Abraham Lincoln and the transcontinental railroad, the Wright Brothers and the development of airplanes, and John F. Kennedy and the Apollo program as models of what can be accomplished if people have the determination and vision to move forward.    

Needling one of his opponents for the Republican nomination, Gingrich said that Mitt Romney had “made fun of me for having bold ideas” about the space program, but that his “weirdest” idea — that Romney’s team had yet to uncover — is a “Northwest Ordinance for space.” Gingrich said the idea is that once there are 13,000 Americans living on the Moon they could petition for statehood.  He vowed to pursue the idea again if he is President as a “marker” that America wants a bold future.

Failure should be an option, in his view, telling a story of missile defense legend Gen. Bernie Schriever criticizing his successor for having 17 successful launches in a row because that meant he was not trying — if he was trying he would be making mistakes. 

The current situation where the United States must rely on Russia for sending people to the space station, and, in his view, China is surpassing us, is an “embarassment,” he said.

Other than suggesting the use of prizes to encourage the private sector to invest in space, Gingrich did not address how such a program would be funded, especially his goal to establish a lunar base in eight years.  He made no mention of international cooperation and, in fact, emphasized that the lunar base he wants by 2020 would be “American.”

Gingrich to Hold Two Space Meetings in Florida Tomorrow

Gingrich to Hold Two Space Meetings in Florida Tomorrow

On Sunday, Newt Gingrich announced that he would make a major speech about the space program this week as part of his campaign to win the Republican nomination for President.   His website lists two events tomorrow in Cocoa, FL that are focused on the space program.

From 3:30 – 4:15 PM EST, he will hold a “Space Coast-Space Industry Roundtable” at Brevard Community College and from 4:30 – 5:30 pm EST a “Space Coast Town Hall Meeting,” according to his campaign website.

Gingrich gave a preview of his views on the space program during the primary debate last night.    He wants to expand the use of prizes to incentivize private investors around the world to find “very romantic and exciting futures” in space.

Romney, Gingrich Talk Space

Romney, Gingrich Talk Space

At last night’s Republican presidential primary debate, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich shared their views on the future of the space program.  Not surprisingly, both criticized the Obama Administration’s program, but perhaps unknowingly supported one of its key elements — greater reliance on the private sector.

Gingrich went further than Romney, focusing on the use of prizes to stimulate private sector investment in visionary space activities while calling for “a leaner NASA.”   Prizes are part of the Obama strategy, too, but Gingrich seems intent on making them the cornerstone of the future space exploration program he would design.

Romney complained that President Obama “does not have a vision or a mission for NASA” and as a result Florida and especially its Space Coast are suffering.  He believes space is important for science, commercial development and the military and that a vision should be established by bringing together representatives of all of those sectors.  He added that NASA should be funded not only by the government “but also by commercial enterprises. Have some of the research done in our universities.”   Exciting young people and leading the world were other goals he espoused.

A substantial amount of NASA’s research is already done by universities, of course, but the concept of commercial enterprises funding NASA instead of the reverse — as is true now — would certainly be a change.   U.S. leadership and inspiring youth are long-standing goals of politicians of both parties.

Gingrich, who plans a major speech about the space program this week, perhaps tomorrow, extolled the use of prizes to encourage “the private sector into very aggressive experimentation” — with less spent at NASA.  “I don’t think building a bigger bureaucracy and having a greater number of people sit in rooms and talk gets you there,” he said.   Instead he believes a “lot of folks in this country and around the world … would put up an amazing amount of money and would make the space coast literally hum with activity” in order to win the prizes.  Going back to the Moon and on to Mars, building more space stations and developing commercial space, he said, could be done by “leapfrogging into a world where you’re incentivizing people who are visionaries and people in the private sector to invest very large amounts of money in finding very romantic and exciting futures.”

The two were responding to questions from Beth Reinhard of the National Journal, one of the moderators of the debate.  The other two candidates, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, were not asked questions about the space program.

A video of the portion of the debate devoted to the space program is on YouTube and the Washington Post has a transcript.

Campaign Promises Versus Reality: Obama and the Space Program

Campaign Promises Versus Reality: Obama and the Space Program

As two of the candidates for the Republican nomination for President spelled out their plans for the space program last night, the New Yorker published an article explaining what happened to the promises presidential candidate Barack Obama made in 2008.

The article by Ryan Lizza is based on hundreds of pages of internal White House memos released by the Obama Administration from the President’s first years in office.  Lizza uses the promises Obama made about space exploration as one example of how much changed after he won the Oval Office.

In August 2008, presidential candidate Obama gave a rousing speech in Florida about the future of the space program.   Criticizing the Bush Administration for giving NASA a vision but not the money to achieve it, Obama asserted “We cannot cede our leadership in space.” He vowed to “close the gap” between when the space shuttle program ended and a new system was available and ensure the people of Florida who worked in the space industry did not lose their jobs when the shuttle ended.  “We need a real vision,” Obama proclaimed, and announced he would reestablish a White House National Aeronautics and Space Council to formulate it.   “Under my watch, NASA will inspire the world once again,” he said then, and “grow the economy” in Florida.

After his election budget realities set in, Lizza writes.  Obama was told by advisers to cancel the Constellation program because it “was behind schedule, over budget, and ‘unachievable.'”  Obama agreed as he wrestled with the need to cut other favorite programs as well.  Later, he received a letter from a woman in Virginia who had voted for him even though she usually voted for Republican candidates, expressing her disappointment in him as President.  She asked how he could have cancelled the Ares program, on which her husband worked.  After requesting information from aides about “how Ares fit [sic] in with our long term NASA strategy,” he directed them to draft a letter to the woman “answering her primary concern — her husband’s career — for me to send.”  Lizza writes that the woman’s letter “captured the fraught choices that have plagued Obama’s past three years.”

The article’s primary focus is Obama’s growing realization that the post-partisan political world he believed in as a presidential candidate and his initial months in office bears little resemblance to Washington reality.   For its readers, the article is another lesson in the folly of believing what presidential candidates say during campaigns versus what they can deliver if they win.

During the Republican presidential primary debate last night, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich explained their ideas about the future of the space program.  Both want to rely more on the private sector — Gingrich more so than Romney.  Gingrich called for using prizes to stimulate private investment in space and a “leaner NASA,” while Romney suggested that NASA be funded not only by the government, but by “commercial enterprises.”  Gingrich said on Sunday he would make a major speech about the space program this week and is scheduled to hold a “Space Industry Roundtable” and a “Space Coast Town Hall Meeting” tomorrow in Cocoa, FL.