Category: Military

Campaign Promises Versus Reality: Obama and the Space Program

Campaign Promises Versus Reality: Obama and the Space Program

As two of the candidates for the Republican nomination for President spelled out their plans for the space program last night, the New Yorker published an article explaining what happened to the promises presidential candidate Barack Obama made in 2008.

The article by Ryan Lizza is based on hundreds of pages of internal White House memos released by the Obama Administration from the President’s first years in office.  Lizza uses the promises Obama made about space exploration as one example of how much changed after he won the Oval Office.

In August 2008, presidential candidate Obama gave a rousing speech in Florida about the future of the space program.   Criticizing the Bush Administration for giving NASA a vision but not the money to achieve it, Obama asserted “We cannot cede our leadership in space.” He vowed to “close the gap” between when the space shuttle program ended and a new system was available and ensure the people of Florida who worked in the space industry did not lose their jobs when the shuttle ended.  “We need a real vision,” Obama proclaimed, and announced he would reestablish a White House National Aeronautics and Space Council to formulate it.   “Under my watch, NASA will inspire the world once again,” he said then, and “grow the economy” in Florida.

After his election budget realities set in, Lizza writes.  Obama was told by advisers to cancel the Constellation program because it “was behind schedule, over budget, and ‘unachievable.'”  Obama agreed as he wrestled with the need to cut other favorite programs as well.  Later, he received a letter from a woman in Virginia who had voted for him even though she usually voted for Republican candidates, expressing her disappointment in him as President.  She asked how he could have cancelled the Ares program, on which her husband worked.  After requesting information from aides about “how Ares fit [sic] in with our long term NASA strategy,” he directed them to draft a letter to the woman “answering her primary concern — her husband’s career — for me to send.”  Lizza writes that the woman’s letter “captured the fraught choices that have plagued Obama’s past three years.”

The article’s primary focus is Obama’s growing realization that the post-partisan political world he believed in as a presidential candidate and his initial months in office bears little resemblance to Washington reality.   For its readers, the article is another lesson in the folly of believing what presidential candidates say during campaigns versus what they can deliver if they win.

During the Republican presidential primary debate last night, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich explained their ideas about the future of the space program.  Both want to rely more on the private sector — Gingrich more so than Romney.  Gingrich called for using prizes to stimulate private investment in space and a “leaner NASA,” while Romney suggested that NASA be funded not only by the government, but by “commercial enterprises.”  Gingrich said on Sunday he would make a major speech about the space program this week and is scheduled to hold a “Space Industry Roundtable” and a “Space Coast Town Hall Meeting” tomorrow in Cocoa, FL.

Gingrich to Hold Two Space Meetings in Florida Tomorrow

Gingrich to Hold Two Space Meetings in Florida Tomorrow

On Sunday, Newt Gingrich announced that he would make a major speech about the space program this week as part of his campaign to win the Republican nomination for President.   His website lists two events tomorrow in Cocoa, FL that are focused on the space program.

From 3:30 – 4:15 PM EST, he will hold a “Space Coast-Space Industry Roundtable” at Brevard Community College and from 4:30 – 5:30 pm EST a “Space Coast Town Hall Meeting,” according to his campaign website.

Gingrich gave a preview of his views on the space program during the primary debate last night.    He wants to expand the use of prizes to incentivize private investors around the world to find “very romantic and exciting futures” in space.

Romney, Gingrich Talk Space

Romney, Gingrich Talk Space

At last night’s Republican presidential primary debate, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich shared their views on the future of the space program.  Not surprisingly, both criticized the Obama Administration’s program, but perhaps unknowingly supported one of its key elements — greater reliance on the private sector.

Gingrich went further than Romney, focusing on the use of prizes to stimulate private sector investment in visionary space activities while calling for “a leaner NASA.”   Prizes are part of the Obama strategy, too, but Gingrich seems intent on making them the cornerstone of the future space exploration program he would design.

Romney complained that President Obama “does not have a vision or a mission for NASA” and as a result Florida and especially its Space Coast are suffering.  He believes space is important for science, commercial development and the military and that a vision should be established by bringing together representatives of all of those sectors.  He added that NASA should be funded not only by the government “but also by commercial enterprises. Have some of the research done in our universities.”   Exciting young people and leading the world were other goals he espoused.

A substantial amount of NASA’s research is already done by universities, of course, but the concept of commercial enterprises funding NASA instead of the reverse — as is true now — would certainly be a change.   U.S. leadership and inspiring youth are long-standing goals of politicians of both parties.

Gingrich, who plans a major speech about the space program this week, perhaps tomorrow, extolled the use of prizes to encourage “the private sector into very aggressive experimentation” — with less spent at NASA.  “I don’t think building a bigger bureaucracy and having a greater number of people sit in rooms and talk gets you there,” he said.   Instead he believes a “lot of folks in this country and around the world … would put up an amazing amount of money and would make the space coast literally hum with activity” in order to win the prizes.  Going back to the Moon and on to Mars, building more space stations and developing commercial space, he said, could be done by “leapfrogging into a world where you’re incentivizing people who are visionaries and people in the private sector to invest very large amounts of money in finding very romantic and exciting futures.”

The two were responding to questions from Beth Reinhard of the National Journal, one of the moderators of the debate.  The other two candidates, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, were not asked questions about the space program.

A video of the portion of the debate devoted to the space program is on YouTube and the Washington Post has a transcript.

The Hill: Obama Delays FY2013 Budget Release To Feb. 13

The Hill: Obama Delays FY2013 Budget Release To Feb. 13

Just as he did last year, President Obama reportedly has decided to wait an extra week to release his new budget request to Congress.   The date has slipped to February 13 from February 6 according to The Hill newspaper.

By law, the budget request is supposed to be submitted to Congress on the first Monday in February.  This year that is February 6.  The Hill cites an unnamed Obama administration official as saying that the FY2013 budget request will be released on February 13 instead and quotes two high-ranking congressional Republicans castigating the President for missing the deadline.

Events of Interest: Week of January 22-27, 2012

Events of Interest: Week of January 22-27, 2012

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.

During the Week

The House and Senate both will be in session this week and President Obama will deliver his annual State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress on Tuesday night.   The American Meteorological Society (AMS) holds its annual meeting beginning today in New Orleans, LA, with “town hall” sessions on topics related to earth observing satellites on Tuesday and Wednesday.  The four-week World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC) 2012, convened by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) where the nations of the world meet to allocate spectrum for terrestrial and space uses, begins in Geneva, Switzerland.

Sunday-Thursday, January 22-26

Monday, January 23 – Friday, February 17

Tuesday, January 24

Wednesday, January 25

 Friday, January 27

Clinton Commits U.S. To Work on Space Code of Conduct-UPDATE

Clinton Commits U.S. To Work on Space Code of Conduct-UPDATE

UPDATE:  A link to a one-pager issued by the State Department explaining the need for an International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities has been added.

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton issued a statement today committing the United States to working with the European Union and other countries to develop a “code of conduct” to ensure the long term sustainability of the space environment.

Secretary Clinton cautioned that “the United States has made clear to our partners that we will not enter into a code of conduct that in any way constrains our national security-related activities in space or our ability to protect the United States and our allies.”   Nonetheless, the United States wants to work with other countries to “reverse the troubling trends that are damaging our space environment and to preserve the limitless benefits and promise of space for future generations.”

The full text of the Secretary’s statement is as follows:

“The long-term sustainability of our space environment is at serious risk from space debris and irresponsible actors.  Ensuring the stability, safety, and security of our space systems is of vital interest to the United States and the global community.  These systems allow the free flow of information across platforms that open up our global markets, enhance weather forecasting and environmental monitoring, and enable global navigation and transportation.

“Unless the international community addresses these challenges, the environment around our planet will become increasingly hazardous to human spaceflight and satellite systems, which would create damaging consequences for all of us.

“In response to these challenges, the United States has decided to join with the European Union and other nations to develop an International Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities.  A Code of Conduct will help maintain the long-term sustainability, safety, stability, and security of space by establishing guidelines for the responsible use of space.

As we begin this work, the United States has made clear to our partners that we will not enter into a code of conduct that in any way constrains our national security-related activities in space or our ability to protect the United States and our allies.  We are, however, committed to working together to reverse the troubling trends that are damaging our space environment and to preserve the limitless benefits and promise of space for future generations.”

The State Department also issued a one-pager explaining the need for an International Code of Conduct for Space Activities.  It notes that  60 nations and government consortia as well as academic and commercial entities operate 1,100 active satellites today, part of the 22,000 space objects being tracked by the U.S. Department of Defense.  Not only does the United States need to address challenges from this increasingly congested space environment, the State Department says, but “threats to the space environment will increase as more nations and non-state actors develop and deploy counter-space systems.”  

 “Given the increasing threat — through either irresponsible or unintentional acts — to the long term sustainability, stability, safety, and security of space operations, we must work with the community of spacefaring nations to preserve the space environment for all nations and future generations,” it stresses. (Italics in original.)

 

NRC Initating Five New Space-Related Studies

NRC Initating Five New Space-Related Studies

The National Research Council (NRC) is about to begin five new space-related studies.  Two are for NASA, two for the Department of Defense (DOD), and one for the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).  The provisional memberships of three of the five study committees are open for comment at the website of the National Academies, of which the NRC is part. 

The five studies are:

Euclid is the European Space Agency’s (ESA’s) dark energy mission.  An earlier NRC study, the decadal survey for astronomy and astrophysics — New Worlds, New Horizons — recommended that NASA build a spacecraft to investigate dark energy (labeled “dark” because scientists do not understand what it is) as well as search for exoplanets and conduct surveys of the universe in the infrared region of the spectrum.   That spacecraft, the Wide Field InfraRed Survey Telescope (WFIRST), will be delayed, however, because of NASA’s constrained budget and the decision that completing the over-budget James Webb Space Telescope is an agency priority.  ESA is moving ahead with its plan for its Euclid dark energy mission and U.S. scientists would like to be part of it.   The NRC study will “determine whether a proposed NASA plan for a U.S. hardware contribution to the European Space Agency (ESA) Euclid mission in exchange for U.S. membership on the Euclid Science Team and science data access is a viable part of an overall strategy to pursue the science goals (dark energy measurements, exoplanet detection, and infrared survey science) of the New Worlds, New Horizons report’s top-ranked, large-scale, space-based priority: the Wide Field InfraRed Survey Telescope(WFIRST).”  The study will be conducted under the auspices of the Space Studies Board (SSB) and the Board on Physics and Astronomy (BPA).  The provisional membership list is available here.

DOD has requested the NRC to review and assess an Air Force concept for a reusable launch vehicle.  The NRC study will “review and assess the SMC/AFRL concept for a Reusable Booster System (RBS) for the U.S. Air Force.  Among the items the committee will consider in carrying out this review are: the criteria and assumptions used in the formulation of current RBS plans; the methodologies used in the current cost estimates for RBS; the modeling methodology used to frame the business case for an RBS capability including: the data used in the analysis, the models’ robustness if new data become available, and the impact of unclassified government data that was previously unavailable and which will be supplied by the USAF; the technical maturity of key elements critical to RBS implementation and the ability of current technology development plans to meet technical readiness milestones.”  The study will be conducted under the auspices of the Aeronautics and Space Engineering Board (ASEB) and the Air Force Studies Board (AFSB).  The provisional membership list is available here.

DOD also asked the NRC to “assess the astrodynamic standards established by Air Force Space Command (AFSPC) and their effectiveness in meeting mission performance needs, as well as possible alternatives.  The Joint Space Operations Center (JSpOC) uses astrodynamic algorithms to perform satellite orbit determination and prediction in order to maintain a catalog of over 20,000 objects, ranging from active satellites to tiny pieces of orbital debris. AFSPC established this set of astrodynamic algorithms as standards to be used in operational space surveillance mission systems. These standards were implemented to achieve interoperability between the JSpOC and the mission systems and to ensure mission performance.”  The study will be conducted under the aupices of the AFSB, ASEB, and Board on Mathematical Sciences and Their Applications.  The provisional membership of this committee has not yet been posted on the NRC website.

At the request of NASA, the Board on Health Sciences Policy, part of the Institute of Medicine (another component of the National Academies), will conduct a study that will review “the scientific merit assessment processes used to evaluate NASA Human Research Program’s directed research tasks.  The study will include a public workshop focused on identifying and exploring best practices in similar peer-reviewed applied research programs in other federal government agencies. The study will also evaluate the scientific rigor of the NASA processes and the effectiveness of those processes in producing protocols that address programmatic research gaps.”  The provisional membership list is available here.

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has asked the NRC to “assess the needs and opportunities to develop a space-based operational land imaging capability. In particular, the committee will examine the elements of a sustained space-based Land Imaging Program with a focus on the Department of Interior’s U.S. Geological Survey role in such a program.”   USGS operates the Landsat 5 and Landsat 7 spacecraft that were built by NASA and will operate the next in the series — the Landsat Data Continuity Mission (LDCM, also called Landsat 8).   The Obama Administration proposed in the FY2012 budget request that USGS take over responsibility for the entire Landsat program, including defining the requirements and paying for the spacecraft to be built and launched, roles that NASA currently plays.  Congress did not agree with that plan, however, and the question remains as to how the Landsat program will continue after Landsat 8 is launched.   Scientists are anxious to obtain long term data sets of comparable information and want the Landsat series to continue.  The first Landsat was launched in 1972; the two currently in orbit are well past their design lifetimes and each has partially failed.   This study will be conducted under the auspices of the SSB.  The provisional membership of this study committee has not yet been posted on the NRC’s website.

The NRC is required to post the provisional memberships of its study committees for a 20-day public comment period prior to when a study begins in accordance with section 15 of the Federal Advisory Committee Act (FACA).   Membership on NRC study committees remains provisional until the NRC determines that individuals do not have improper biases or conflicts of interest with regard to the topic of the study.

Obama, Panetta to Release New Defense Strategy Today

Obama, Panetta to Release New Defense Strategy Today

President Barrack Obama will join Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta this morning in announcing a new defense strategy that responds to the need to reduce defense budgets.

A news conference at the Pentagon is scheduled for 10:50 am EST this morning.    Joining the President and Panetta will be Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Army Gen. Martin Dempsey, and Deputy Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter.  The press conference will be carried live on DOD’s website and presumably on major media outlets.

Today’s announcement of the results of the Defense Strategic Review is expected to provide a broad overview, not specifics.  The latter reportedly will come when the FY2013 budget request is released next month. 

Panetta: Space Investments Among Those to be Protected

Panetta: Space Investments Among Those to be Protected

Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta said today that while cuts are made to the defense budget, investments in several areas will be protected, including space capabilities.

President Obama, Panetta, and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey released the new Defense Strategic Guidance at a press conference today.  Panetta stressed that a new strategy was needed even if the budget situation did not demand it because of changing geopolitical circumstances.    However, the need to reduce defense spending is an important factor in designing the new strategy, he continued.

Although there will be cuts in many areas, Panetta made it clear that some parts of the defense budget — including space activities — will be protected and even augmented:   “Lastly, as we reduce the overall defense budget, we will protect and in some cases increase our investments in special operations forces, in new technologies like ISR and unmanned systems, in space, and in particular in cyberspace capabilities, and also our capacity to quickly mobilize if necessary.”

Specifics on what programs will be cut or increased were not announced today.   That information apparently must wait until the President’s FY2013 budget request is submitted to Congress, which is expected on the first Monday in February.

Globalstar Launch on Soyuz To Proceed, Proton Launch of SES-4 Further Delayed

Globalstar Launch on Soyuz To Proceed, Proton Launch of SES-4 Further Delayed

Satellite operator Globalstar will proceed with its planned launch of six satellites tomorrow on a Russian Soyuz rocket despite a Soyuz failure on December 23 that destroyed a Russian military communications satellite.  Meanwhile, launch of a different commercial communications satellite, SES-4 (formerly NSS-14), on a Russian Proton rocket that should have occurred yesterday will be delayed by approximately 25 days because of technical problems with the Proton’s Briz (Breeze) upper stage.

The Proton launch was scrubbed shortly before launch.  Initially it was unclear as to whether the problem could be resolved quickly or if the launch vehicle would have to be rolled back from the pad.   The decision to roll back was made later in the day and International Launch Services, a U.S.-based company that sells commercial launches on Proton, subsequently announced that the launch would be delayed for about 25 days because of problems “with the avionics system” of the Briz-M upper stage.  Both Proton and Briz are manufactured by Khrunichev. 

Russia’s usually reliable launch vehicles have suffered a series of failures in the past 12 months, most recently the loss of a Soyuz-2.1b rocket on December 23 that doomed a Russian military communications satellite.  That failure, however, is not deterring satellite operator Globalstar from proceeding with its launch on a Soyuz scheduled for tomorrow, December 28.   The launch from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan is intended to place six second-generation Globalstar satellites into orbit.   This launch was arranged through Starsem, a European-Russian joint venture that includes French launch company Arianespace.  Starsem conducts commercial Soyuz launches both from Baikonur and from Arianespace’s launch site in Kourou, French Guiana.  Arianespace and Globalstar issued press releases today indicating that the launch plans are unchanged. 

There are many versions of the Soyuz rocket and the Soyuz-2.1b that failed on December 23 is slightly different from version that will be used for Globalstar.   Arianespace stated that it would be the “same basic modernized version of  Soyuz” as is used in Kourou, but other sources report that the Kourou version, Soyuz-ST, is specially designed to operate in the humid climate in South America, whereas the version used at Baikonur is designated Soyuz 2-1a.     RussianSpaceWeb.com has detailed technical information about the differences in these Soyuz variants.

The December 23 launch failure and the Proton problem yesterday led Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin to put Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin “in charge of Russia’s space sector.”  Rogozin, Russia’s former ambassador to NATO, had just been assigned as Deputy Prime Minister and made responsible for ferreting out the problems in Russia’s defense and atomic energy sectors.  Yesterday’s action adds space to his portfolio.