Category: International

Space Policy Events for the Week of March 4-8, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of March 4-8, 2013

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.  The House and Senate will be in session.

During the Week

Government agencies, including NASA, NOAA and DOD, will start implementing the sequester this week.  Washington politicians failed to reach agreement on an alternative to reducing the deficit, so the blunt force “meat-axe” across-the-board spending cuts that were never supposed to happen did happen nonetheless.   For FY2013, the fiscal year that is already underway, NASA and NOAA were cut 5 percent and DOD 7.8 percent, although the effective rates are 9 percent and 13 percent since the cuts must be absorbed in just seven months instead of 12.  

According to a March 1, 2013 Office of Management and Budget report to Congress, NASA will lose $896 million in FY2013 funding compared to its total budget of about $17.8 billion.  We updated our fact sheet on NASA’s FY2013 budget, including adding a table showing how much each of NASA’s budget accounts will be cut.  NOAA will lose $266 million from the two budget accounts that fund its satellite programs.   DOD does not have a “space” budget so understanding the effect on national security space programs is extremely difficult.  Perhaps the Marshall Institute/TechAmerica panel discussion on Thursday will shed some light on that.

Whether the White House and Congress continue discussions on alternates to the sequester this week remains to be seen.   The next critical fiscal deadline is March 27 when the Continuing Resolution that is currently funding the government expires.  It may be that the politicians combine negotiations on the sequester and what to do about funding the rest of FY2013.  Time will tell.

Meanwhile, the House Science, Space and Technology Committee will turn its attention to the threats posed by asteroids (or meteors, once they enter the atmosphere) and comets at a hearing on Wednesday.  That and other events of interest are listed below.

Tuesday, March 5

Wednesday, March 6

Wednesday-Friday, March 6-8

  • National Research Council (NRC) Space Science Week, National Academy of Sciences building, 2101 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington DC (NOTE THAT THE MEETINGS ARE NOT AT THE KECK CENTER ON 5TH STREET WHERE SUCH MEETINGS OFTEN TAKE PLACE)

    The NRC’s four space science discipline committees will meet jointly and separately over the course of the three days

    • Committee on Astronomy and Astrophysics
    • Committee on Astrobiology and Planetary Science
    • Committee on Earth Science and Applications from Space
    • Committee on Solar and Space Physics

Thursday, March 7

Friday, March 8

Bolden, Holdren, Shelton to Testify Next Week on Threats from Space

Bolden, Holdren, Shelton to Testify Next Week on Threats from Space

NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden, Presidential Science Adviser John Holdren and Air Force Space Command Commander Gen. William Shelton will head to Capitol Hill next week to testify about the threat from meteors and comets.

The House Science, Space and Technology Committee has scheduled a hearing on Wednesday, March 6, at 2:00 pm ET, which they call “Part I” of hearings that will review U.S. government efforts to track and mitigate the threat posed by these celestial objects.

Asteroids are rocks in space.   If they enter Earth’s atmosphere, they are called meteors (or fireballs).  Any portions that reach the surface are called meteorites.   A meteor exploded over the Russian city of Chelyabinsk on February 15, injuring more than 1,000 people — mostly from flying glass as windows broke from the shock wave created by the meteor’s interaction with the atmosphere.

Congress, NASA IG Assessing NASA's Use of Space Act Agreements

Congress, NASA IG Assessing NASA's Use of Space Act Agreements

NASA’s use of Space Act Agreements (SAAs) is coming under scrutiny both by Congress and by NASA Inspector General (IG) Paul Martin.

Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), chairman of the House Appropriations Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) subcommittee that funds NASA, released two letters today that he sent to NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden inquiring about the agency’s use of SAAs.  The first was sent in January requesting a list of all foreign and domestic SAAs.  The second was sent today alerting Bolden that more questions will be forthcoming about some of them.  Wolf asked NASA to share all the information with the chair of the House Science, Space and Technology (SS&T) Committee, Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX).  

House SS&T is NASA’s authorizing committee, which sets policy and recommends funding levels.  Wolf’s committee is the one that actually gives the money to NASA (and other agencies under its jurisdiction) in conjunction with its Senate counterpart.

NASA was given authority to use Space Act Agreements, also called “other transaction authority,” in the law that created the agency in 1958.  SAAs have garnered a lot of attention since NASA began using them for its commercial cargo and commercial crew programs.  Under those SAAs, companies are paid only when they meet agreed-upon milestones, but the government has less insight into what they are doing than with traditional contracts executed under Federal Acquisition Regulations (FAR). 

However, Wolf’s interest does not seem to stem from that application of the agreements.

Wolf’s January 14 letter refers to a discussion between his staff and NASA where NASA reported it had “more than ‘550 active international agreements with 120 nations on a wide range of activities. … There is no publicly available list of all such current or pending international Space Act Agreements…’  My staff was also informed that NASA maintains no public list of domestic SAAs.”  Wolf states that he is concerned that NASA may be sharing “sensitive technologies” with foreign governments that “may not share our national interests in space” through the SAAs.

The February 26 letter thanks Bolden for providing the list of all the foreign and domestic SAAs adding that Wolf was “struck by the broad scope of the agreements … as well as the unusual nature of some of [them].” 

Wolf also praises NASA IG Martin for beginning an “overdue” audit of SAAs as well.  Martin’s office tweeted (@NASAOIG) yesterday that it is starting an “audit evaluating NASA’s management of its Space Act Agreements.”  No further details are on the OIG website yet.

Space Policy Events of Interest for the Week of February 25-March 1, 2013 – UPDATE

Space Policy Events of Interest for the Week of February 25-March 1, 2013 – UPDATE

UPDATE, February 25:  Confirms the Dennis Tito press conference on Wednesday and adds two NASA science briefings on Wednesday (black holes) and Thursday (Van Allen Probes).

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.  The House and Senate are in session this week.

During the Week

This is it!  Sequester week.  Unless Congress passes a bill and the President signs it into law before the end of the week, the across-the-board spending cuts known as the sequester will go into effect.  The sequester requires $85 billion in federal spending to be cut by September 30 and though just about everyone agrees it could have long-lasting, damaging effects on the economy, both sides show no sign of compromise.  Each simply continues to blame the other for the mess.

A number of congressional hearings have been and will be held on the impact on various agencies.  We learned ourselves this past week how difficult it is to penetrate the budget fog to accurately report that impact because it is caught up in other budget whirlwinds like how Congress will fund agencies for the last 6 months of FY2013.  Agencies are now operating under a 6-month Continuing Resolution (CR) that expires on March 27.  The betting is that Congress will extend that for the rest of FY2013, passing a “full year CR” that could have even more dramatic consequences for certain government-funded programs. 

One might wonder why Congress and the White House do not at least postpone the sequester until a decision is made on the rest of FY2013 and settle those two matters simultaneously, yet holding this Damoclean sword over the head of the nation’s economy for even one extra day seems unpalatable, too.

Meanwhile, the House Science, Space and Technology’s Space Subcommittee will hold a hearing on Wednesday to discuss the Culberson-Wolf Space Leadership Preservation Act to restructure NASA so that it has a Board of Directors and an administrator with a fixed term.  Reps. Wolf and Culberson will testify, along with Tom Young and Elliot Pulham.   The bill was introduced in the last Congress and is expected to be reintroduced soon.

Here is a list of all the space-policy related events we know about so far.

Monday, February 25

Tuesday, February 26

Wednesday, February 27

Thursday, February 28

Thursday-Friday, February 28 – March 1

Friday, March 1

 

Changed Space Environment Creates Multitude of Challenges, Say Panelists

Changed Space Environment Creates Multitude of Challenges, Say Panelists

Since the beginning of the Obama Administration, the national security space community has described today’s space environment as “congested, contested, and competitive.” Yet as panelists at an event Wednesday emphasized, the threats to U.S. space investments not only have security implications, but may impact the bottom line of companies and even the ability to continue relying on critical space-enabled services.

Organized by the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), the Secure World Foundation (SWF) and the Space Foundation, the event brought together experts from the national space security, academic, commercial and government sectors to discuss some of these threats. The event was held under the Chatham House rule, where everything is said on a non-attribution basis.

Panelists explained that the changed space environment, which now involves more than 60 space actors, challenges the rules, practices and expectations that were established more than 50 years ago when space was the sole domain of the Soviet Union and the United States. This situation forces changes in how governments and commercial actors interact and how they protect the systems on which they are becoming increasingly reliant.

Some of the key threats identified by the panel include the following:

  • Growing space dependence – Critical services such as weather monitoring, telecommunications, and positioning, navigation and timing (PNT) – such as the Global Positioning System (GPS) — would not be possible without space assets.  According to one of the panelists, there is a prevailing trend for the design of essential utilities that are heavily dependent on space assets, such as location-based utilities using GPS.  Heavy reliance on space-based assets is problematic to the extent that they often have no terrestrial backups, which would be costly, have no other market, and may become outdated before they are used.
  • Inadequate treaty-regime – The existing treaty regime, shaped by the interactions between the Soviet Union and the United States in the 1960s, may no longer be effective to guide space activities. According to a panelist, the need to incorporate and involve commercial companies and the need for an effective dispute resolution system are two issues that need to be addressed.  The panelist added that “a lot of thought and perhaps innovations,” will be needed to “tweak the legal regime to accommodate [new] trends.”
  • Combined Space Operations – One panelist said that when it comes to addressing challenges faced by military space activities, proposed solutions that cost a lot of money are “dead on arrival.” The community is instead shifting towards increased international cooperation. The Department of Defense is actively working to cooperate with its closest allies in areas such as space situational awareness (SSA) and exploring how to move towards combined space operations. While this is challenging, the panelist expressed confidence that steps were being taken in the right direction, saying “I’m kind of excited.”
  • Long-term Sustainability – As one of the agencies directed to promote the stability and long-term sustainability of space by the 2010 National Space Policy, the Department of State engages in a variety of bilateral and multilateral activities.  A panelist explained that an ongoing push to raise the significance of this issue in the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space (UNCOPUOS) led to a study, likely to conclude this year, that would lead to “voluntary, non-binding, best practices guidelines” to promote long-term sustainability.
  • Industrial base issues – Threats to the sustainability of the satellite manufacturing industrial base were cited as a concern for both the commercial and military space communities. Nevertheless, export control reform has been taken as a positive step. One of the panelists thanked Congress for taking a step that was “a significant assist to U.S. manufacturing.”
  • In-space operations – Improved SSA has been a topic of interest for everyone from U.S. government civil and military officials negotiating data sharing agreements to commercial companies self organizing in ventures such as the Space Data Association. Beyond the need to avoid in-orbit collisions, reducing radio frequency and electromagnetic interference is also a concern.  

Really Amazing Video of BOOM from Russian Meteor

Really Amazing Video of BOOM from Russian Meteor

Even if you think you’ve seen enough video of the meteor that exploded over the Russian city of Chelyabinsk, you ought to watch this.

This compilation of images from offices, schools and factories on YouTube makes you feel like you were there.  [With thanks to @B612foundation retweeting @stevesilberman.]

Meteorites Found, But Beware Offers to Sell

Meteorites Found, But Beware Offers to Sell

Divers may have come up empty handed from their search in icy Lake Cherbarkul for a large chunk of the meteor that exploded near the Ural Mountains on Friday, but a team of scientists reportedly found small remnants (meteorites) in the vicinity.    Offers to sell the meteorites are popping up already — but buyer beware.

On Saturday, Russian news sources like RIA Novosti reported that the divers did not find any signs of a large core of the meteor in the lake.  Witnesses had reported seeing the fireball go into the lake and a large hole was found in the ice covering it.  

Yesterday, however, RIA Novosti quoted a scientist at the Urals Federal University as confirming that “the particulate matters, found by our expedition in the area of Lake Cherbarkul indeed have meteorite nature.”  The scientist, Victor Grohovsky, said it was an ordinary stony chondrite meteor and about 10 percent iron.  Russia Today added that Grohovsky’s team was not allowed to inspect the crater that the meteor made in the lake, but they found several dozen meteorites around the hole.  The meteorites are between 0.5 and 1 centimeter in diameter, it continued, and “so far the researchers were able to confirm the samples’ celestial origin out of the 53 small particles sampled.”

 

Meteorite found in Russian lake, per Russia’s RIA Novosti, February 17, 2013

Offers to sell the meteorites reportedly are appearing on social media outlets and the Internet, with prices as high as $4,000.  Russian authorities are warning potential buyers not to be taken in.  They reportedly have created a task force that is working 24 hours a day to verify all online offers for sales of the meteorites.

Meanwhile, Russia’s Itar-Tass news service puts the final count of those who sought medical attention after the meteor exploded over the city of Chelyabinsk at 9:20 am local time on Friday at 1,158, including 289 children; 52 people were hospitalized.  Also, a “total of 4,715 buildings, including 3,700 apartment buildings, were damaged,” it reported.  The damage and injuries were caused by a shock wave created as the meteor descended through the atmosphere.   Most injuries were from flying glass from broken windows.

Space Policy Events for the Week of February 18-22, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of February 18-22, 2013

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.  The House and Senate are in recess this week for the President’s Day holiday.

During the Week

Perhaps the most interesting aspect of the coming week is what is NOT happening.   Congress is in recess rather than trying to solve the issue of whether the sequester will go into effect on March 1 or not.   Nothing seems to have changed on that front.  Both parties and both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue warn about the dire consequences if it goes into effect, assert they they have a reasonable alternative plan, and then put forward the same plans that have failed to garner sufficient support in the past.  Republicans continue to insist on reducing the deficit by spending cuts alone while Democrats continue to insist on a combination of spending cuts and tax increases.  The most recent plan, by Senate Democrats, would cut $110 billion from the deficit — $55 billion through spending cuts, $55 billion through tax increases on the wealthiest taxpayers — through the beginning of 2014.

Last week a number of hearings were held spelling out the effects of the sequester on defense and non-defense agencies.   The Senate Appropriations Committee published a series of letters from a large number of agencies (including NASA, NOAA’s parent Department of Commerce, and the Department of Defense) while the Democrats on the House Appropriations Committee circulated their own analysis.  There is no good news in any of it, but no solution is evident and the betting inside the beltway is that the $85 billion in cuts for FY2013 alone will, in fact, take place.  Those cuts would have to be absorbed by September 30 of this year making them particularly difficult.

Very little is ever certain in Washington, however, and perhaps with the week’s break, an alternative plan that can win support from all parties will yet emerge.

At the same time, Senate Republicans successfully blocked the nomination of Chuck Hagel to be the new Secretary of Defense last week through a procedural move that prevented the nomination from being brought to the Senate floor for consideration.  The Senate will return to the issue next week.  After a week’s delay, it may be that a sufficient number of Republicans will join with Democrats in allowing the nomination to be considered on an up or down vote wherein he would need only 51 votes (instead of 60) to win.   With 53 Democrats and two Independents who usually vote with the Democrats, he is very likely to win that vote. 

Meanwhile, this week — while Congress hopefully is working behind the scenes instead of in front of the cameras — there are four space policy-related meetings that may be of interest.

Tuesday, February 19

 Wednesday, February 20

Russians Still Searching for Meteorite Fragments, Scientists Raise Estimates of Size, Mass and Energy Release

Russians Still Searching for Meteorite Fragments, Scientists Raise Estimates of Size, Mass and Energy Release

Russian authorities continue to search for fragments from the meteor that exploded over the Russian city of Chelyabinsk yesterday, but with no luck so far.  In the meantime, scientists at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) are revising upwards their estimates of the meteor’s size, mass and energy release based on additional data.

Witnesses believe that part of the meteor landed in Lake Cherbarkul, but divers found no trace of it today according to Russia’s RIA Novosti.   Russian media reports vary on the number of people injured by the effects of the shock wave created as the meteor streaked across the sky at about 9:20 am local time yesterday.   Most agree that it was between 1,000 and 1,200, mostly injured by broken glass.  Many residents apparently ran to windows to see what was happening as the meteor streaked by.   The New York Times quoted a woman as describing the light as “unreal” and “a light which never happens in life; it happens only in the end of the world.”

The shock wave came next and since many people were standing next to windows, breaking glass caused a host of injuries. 

Meanwhile, JPL scientists now believe it was 17 meters instead of 15 meters in diameter, had a mass of 10,000 tons rather than 7,000 tons, and released 500 kilotons of energy instead of 300 kilotons.   The earlier data, reported in a media teleconference yesterday, was based on data from four Infrasound stations that are part of a global network of sensors that monitors compliance with the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.  Data from five more stations are now available, allowing the refined estimates.

Blast from Russian Meteor Similar to Nuclear Explosion

Blast from Russian Meteor Similar to Nuclear Explosion

The atmospheric blast from the meteor that struck near the Russian city of Chelyabinsk this morning released 300 kilotons of energy, similar to a nuclear explosion according to a NASA expert.   The resulting shock wave broke windows and collapsed walls, injuring more than 1,000 people.

Bill Cooke of NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center said in a media teleconference this afternoon that the force of the blast was determined by measurements from a global network of sensor arrays called Infrasound.  The Infrasound system of 60 sensor arrays around the world was designed to detect nuclear explosions as part of monitoring compliance with the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty.  He said NASA used data from four of the sensor stations to determine the amount of energy released by the blast.  He expects other sensor arrays also picked it up, but did not know how many.

Videos of the meteor taken by cell phone and dashboard cameras by many of those who witnessed the event are posted on the Internet and tell more of the meteor’s story, according to Cooke and Paul Chodas of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL).  

Asteroids are rocks in space. Those that enter Earth’s atmosphere are called meteors and if they reach the ground they are meteorites.

This meteor is estimated to have been 15 meters in diameter with a mass of 7,000 metric tons and travelling at 18 kilometers per second (40,000 miles per hour).   It penetrated the atmosphere at an angle of 20 degrees and streaked through the sky for 30 seconds before breaking apart 20-25 kilometers (12-15 miles) above the surface of Earth. 

Chodas said this was a “tiny” asteroid and could not have been detected in advance not only because of its size, but because it came from the daylight side of Earth.  Using Earth-based telescopes, asteroids can only be detected against the black background of space — at night.  Asteroids the size of this one reach the surface about once every 100 years, he said.  Cooke said the Earth actually intercepts 80 tons of meteoritic material every day, with “millions of millimeter size meteors striking Earth per day.”   Chodas added that meteors the size of basketballs hit Earth every day on average, while those the size of a car hit every month or two.

The fact that an asteroid hit Russia on the same day as asteroid 2012 DA14 made a close pass of Earth was a rare coincidence, Chodas said, but the two were not related to each other.   Asteroid 2012 DA14 travels in an Earth-like orbit, while the asteroid that hit Russia came from the asteroid belt.   The Russian meteor came from the opposite direction and its velocity was “much, much greater” than DA14, he stressed.  No verified fragments from the meteor have been located so far, but Cooke expects that it was a common stony asteroid, not one made of iron.

Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX), chairman of the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, issued a press release saying the two events today “are a stark reminder of the need to invest in space science,” and promised to hold a hearing on ways to “better identify and address asteroids that pose a potential threat to Earth.”  A date for the hearing was not announced, only that it will be “in the coming weeks.”

Correction:  An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated that the energy released was 300 megatons, rather than 300 kilotons, of energy.