Category: Commercial

DalBello Headed to OSTP

DalBello Headed to OSTP

Richard DalBello will begin his new job at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) on September 23.  His appointment has been rumored for several weeks.

DalBello has a long history of government and private sector experience in the space business.   Currently he is Vice President of Government Affairs for Intelsat General.  

He will be OSTP’s Assistant Director, Aeronautics and Space, the same position he held for four years of the Clinton Administration.

Among his previous government jobs, he worked at the congressional Office of Technology Assessment, for NASA as director of commercial communications where he was responsible for private sector experiments on the Advanced Communications Technology Satellite (ACTS), and for the Department of Commerce as Director of the Office of Space Commercialization.  He also worked on the staff of the 1985-1986 National Commission on Space.    In the private sector, he was president of the Satellite Broadcasting and Communications Association, president of the Satellite Industry Association, general counsel of Spotcast Communications Inc., and Vice President for Government Affairs, North America for ICO Global Communications. 

He has a B.S. in political science from the University of Illinois, a master’s degree in law from McGill University, and a J.D. from the University of San Francisco.

LADEE Launches on Schedule, On Its Way to the Moon

LADEE Launches on Schedule, On Its Way to the Moon

It was a picture perfect launch for NASA’s Lunar Atmosphere and Dust Environment Explorer (LADEE) tonight.

Launch from Wallops Flight Facility on the coast of Virginia was on time at 11:27 pm Eastern Daylight Time.  The Minotaur V rocket performed as expected and LADEE is on its way to the Moon.  

It is using an unusual method to reach the Moon.  Instead of flying there directly like the Apollo missions, it was placed into an elliptical Earth orbit.   The apogee of the orbit (point furthest from Earth) will be raised through three “phasing loops” until it is so close to the Moon that the spacecraft will be captured by the Moon’s gravity.  A braking rocket then will fire to put LADEE into lunar orbit.  The process will take about a month.

East Coast Should Get Great View of LADEE Launch Friday

East Coast Should Get Great View of LADEE Launch Friday

NASA’s next lunar mission, LADEE, remains on track for launch tomorrow, September 6, just before midnight Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).  The U.S. East Coast from South Carolina to Maine should be able to see it.

The Lunar Atmosphere and Dust Environment Explorer (LADEE) is scheduled for launch tomorrow at 11:27 EDT from Wallops Flight Facility on the coast of Virginia.  It will launch on an Orbital Sciences Corporation Minotaur V rocket, adapted from a Peacekeeper missile. 

During a press conference today, NASA Ames Research Center Director Pete Worden pointed out that this is the first spacecraft “designed, developed, built, integrated and tested” at Ames, in close partnership with NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center.

The weather is 95 percent “go” for launch according to Sarah Dougherty, NASA Wallops test director, speaking at the same press conference.

The launch window is four minutes long.  If anything goes awry, additional launch opportunities exist on the subsequent four days as follows (all times are EDT):

  • Saturday, Sept. 7, 11:26 pm (15 minute launch window)
  • Sunday, Sept. 8, 11:21 pm (15 minute launch window)
  • Monday, Sept, 9, 11:22 pm (15 minute launch window)
  • Tuesday, Sept. 10, 11:22 pm (7 minute launch window)

Orbital Sciences has an illustration showing the areas where the launch should be visible.

Credit:  Orbital Sciences Corporation

    

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 2-6, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 2-6, 2013

Officially Congress does not return until September 9, but at least one committee (Senate Foreign Relations) reportedly is planning a hearing on the situation in Syria this week and others may follow suit in the wake of President Obama’s decision to seek congressional approval for military action there.  No space-related hearings are expected, however.  Meanwhile, here’s what IS happening in space policy in the coming week.

Tuesday, September 3

Wednesday,  September 4

Wednesday-Friday, September 4-6

Thursday, September 5

JWST, Commercial Crew Spared Cuts in NASA FY2013 Operating Plan

JWST, Commercial Crew Spared Cuts in NASA FY2013 Operating Plan

With only six weeks left in FY2013, Congress and the Obama Administration finally reached agreement on NASA’s FY2013 operating plan that details how the agency will spend the money appropriated by Congress.   Although the agency was subject to across-the-board cuts of about 7 percent that were to be applied proportionately to all its activities, at least two projects were spared those cuts — the commercial crew program and the James Webb Space Telescope.

NASA has not released the operating plan to the public, but provided account and sub-account totals to SpacePolicyOnline.com at our request.  We have updated our fact sheets on NASA’s FY2013 budget request and FY2014 budget request accordingly.

The messy FY2013 appropriations process was difficult to follow and NASA’s appropriations ultimately were determined by two Continuing Resolutions (CRs).  The first, which covered October 1, 2012 – March 27, 2013, kept NASA and most other government agencies at their FY2012 spending levels, but included a 0.612 percent across-the-board increase.  The second CR covered the rest of the fiscal year (through September 30).  The House agreed to a Senate-passed version that is posted on the Senate Appropriations Committee’s website along with an explanatory statement that includes a table detailing NASA funding.  At first glance, those figures looked quite good for the agency — a total of $17.862 billion — but later sections of the bill applied a 1.877 percent rescission, a 5 percent sequester, and instructed the Office of Management and Budget to make further across-the-board cuts if necessary to ensure total spending in the bill did not exceed agreed-upon budget caps.

According to the numbers provided to SpacePolicyOnline.com today (August 29, 2013), after doing all the math, NASA ended up with $16.865 billion for FY2013, compared to its request of $17.711 billion.  The rescissions and sequester were supposed to be applied “proportionately” to every “program, project and activity,” but NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden made clear early on that he intended to exempt some activities, such as commercial crew.  Any such action would require agreement from OMB and Congress.

Indeed, the numbers provided by NASA show that the commercial crew program will be funded at $525 million for FY2013, the same level as approved by Congress before the rescissions and sequester are applied.   Similarly, the James Webb Space Telescope is funded at $627.6 million, a tad less than the $628 million approved by Congress before the across-the-board reductions.  A table comparing the FY2013 request, subsequent congressional action (including the second CR), and the final numbers provided by NASA based on the operating plan are in our fact sheet on the FY2013 budget request.

Hopefully NASA — or the congressional appropriations committees — will release the complete FY2013 operating plan so the taxpayers can know in more detail how their money is being spent.  For now, the numbers provided to SpacePolicyOnline.com today are at least a start.

Logsdon and Pace Criticize Lack of White House Leadership on NASA, Say Agency is Adrift

Logsdon and Pace Criticize Lack of White House Leadership on NASA, Say Agency is Adrift

George Washington University (GWU) space policy experts John Logsdon and Scott Pace agree NASA is adrift today, particularly with regard to the human spaceflight program, and blame the White House for a lack of leadership.

Speaking in a teleconference this morning, the two veteran observers of and participants in U.S. space policy offered their views on NASA’s past, present and future.   Pace has a long career in and out of government, including high ranking positions at NASA and the White House under Republican Administrations and was a top NASA official under the George W. Bush administration.  Today he is Director of GWU’s Space Policy Institute.

Logsdon is considered the “dean” of space policy and published his first book on President John F. Kennedy’s decision to go the Moon in 1970.   A GWU professor since that era, he founded the Space Policy Institute and is now a professor emeritus there.  He recently authored a new book about Kennedy’s role in the Apollo program and is now writing one on President Richard Nixon’s post-Apollo decisions.

Both believe NASA is adrift today and criticized the Obama Administration for its lack of leadership.  Logsdon stressed that when he talks about a lack of leadership he is referring more to the White House than to NASA itself.

Pace said the “sense of drift, or the sense of a lack of consensus is fairly serious” and shows up particularly in terms of relationships with the international community.    He believes returning humans to the Moon – the program he was implementing when he worked at NASA – should be the next step for human spaceflight because it responds to today’s geopolitical environment since many other countries want to participate in such a mission.   The Obama Administration’s goals of sending people to an asteroid and then to Mars are beyond the capabilities of those countries right now, he explains, so they would be left out of such plans.

Logsdon views the ongoing debate as a continuation of four decades of “failure to reach consensus” on NASA’s future, especially for human spaceflight.   Articulating a rationale for human spaceflight is extremely difficult and he anticipates that the National Research Council committee currently tasked with that assignment will not succeed either.  “I don’t think there is an answer,” he said; instead it is a matter of “personal choice” by individuals and leaders and the “lack of leadership of this administration” has “put us in a situation which is unfortunate.”

The Obama Administration’s long term goal of sending people to Mars reflects a long-standing paradigm that began with a vision advanced by Wernher von Braun decades ago.  In response to a question about whether that should, in fact, be the goal, Logsdon agreed that it is rarely challenged, but there are alternatives such as construction of space solar power satellites or free-flying space colonies.  The “fixation” on sending humans to Mars “takes us in a particular direction that’s been there for half a century or more” without debate on whether that’s the right direction, he added.

Asked to speculate about how the departure of NASA Deputy Administrator and Obama Administration insider Lori Garver may affect NASA in the coming years, Logsdon said it depends on whether she will be replaced and, if so, by someone who shares her commitment to “revitalization and innovation.”   If not, he worries there could be “backsliding” on some of the changes she championed, such as the commercial crew effort and NASA’s commitment to ensuring competition between at least two companies.

Pace hopes that a replacement for Garver might be able to fix the process by which Administration decisions are made and announced.  He and Logsdon both criticized how the Obama Administration handled the roll out of its decision to terminate the Constellation program to return humans to the Moon and instead focus on sending people to an asteroid.  The announcement came as a surprise to both Republicans and Democrats in Congress and pitted Congress and the White House against each other in a bruising debate over NASA’s future.  The resulting compromise in the 2010 NASA authorization act left NASA with direction to do both what the White House wanted and what Congress wanted, but without the requisite resources to succeed.

Logsdon’s disenchantment with the Obama Administration’s treatment of NASA is much broader.   By this time President Obama should have invited international partners to work together to define the future of the space program and should have given NASA “a relatively crisp sense of what it’s role should be,” he insisted, but Obama “hasn’t done that” and “that’s been very disappointing to me.” 

FAA Grants Safety Waiver to SpaceX for West Coast Launch

FAA Grants Safety Waiver to SpaceX for West Coast Launch

The FAA’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation (AST) has granted SpaceX a waiver related to one of three safety factors for its first west coast launch next month.

SpaceX plans to launch a new version of its Falcon 9 rocket, the Falcon 9 v1.1, in September from Vandenberg Air Force Base.  The payload is a Canadian scientific and research satellite, Cassiope, which is headed to a polar orbit, plus five secondary payloads.

According to the FAA’s decision, published in today’s Federal Register, launches must meet specific safety probability thresholds for three factors:  impacting inert and impacting explosive debris, toxic release, and far field blast overpressure.   It is the third that is problematical for this launch.

The total expected average number of casualties (Ec) for any of the three factors is not supposed to exceed 0.00003.  When combined, the total risk is not supposed to exceed 0.0001 Ec.

The Falcon 9 v1.1 launch is expected to exceed the 0.00003 level for far field blast overpressure because it is a new launch vehicle and because weather conditions that exacerbate that phenomenon are common near Vandenberg in September.  The specific weather condition is an inversion layer that reflects shock waves, increasing the risk of damages from an explosion.

However, the risk for the other two factors (debris and toxic release) is rated very low.  When combined, the FAA says the total risk will be under the 0.0001 threshold “approximately forty percent of the time during September” and it therefore approved the waiver request.   If the collective risk were to exceed the 0.0001 Ec threshold “SpaceX would not launch until conditions improved sufficiently for the risk of the launch to satisfy the limits allowed by the waiver.”

The FAA notes that it granted a waiver for an April 2012 SpaceX launch from Cape Canaveral when the risk from debris exceeded the nominal value, and the Air Force waived a requirement for a Titan IV launch in 2005.

The FAA ruling also notes that the Air Force calculates the “overall failure probability” for the Falcon 9 v.1.1 at “nearly fifty percent for each of the first two launches.”

Russian News Source Claims Russia Reconsidering Exports of RD-180 Engines to US

Russian News Source Claims Russia Reconsidering Exports of RD-180 Engines to US

Russia Today (RT) is reporting that Russia’s Security Council is reconsidering exports of Russian RD-180 rocket engines to the United States.  RD-180s are used for the United Launch Alliance’s (ULA’s) Atlas V rocket.

The RT story, based on an account in Russia’s Izvestiya newspaper, asserts that a Russian space agency official told Izvestiya that the Russian Security Council may ban exports of the engines and such a ban “could halt the U.S. space program.”   That is an overstatement since the Atlas V is only one U.S. launch vehicle, but it is a very important rocket used for NASA and national security payloads.  

The RD-180 engines are manufactured by Russia’s NPO Energomash.  A joint venture, RD-AMROSS, was created between Energomash and the U.S. company Pratt & Whitney-Rocketdyne for delivery of the engines.   Pratt & Whitney-Rocketdyne was recently acquired by Aerojet; the merged company is Aerojet Rocketdyne.

RT reports that 63 engines have been delivered so far and another 31 are due to be delivered under a contract signed in December 2012.   The Russian Security Council reportedly is debating whether to deliver the engines under the new contract because of two concerns:  that the engines are used to launch U.S. military satellites and that under the first contract the engines were sold for only half their production cost.

At the same time, Orbital Sciences Corporation, which uses a different Russian rocket engine (the NK-33, which is called the AJ-26 after being refurbished by Aerojet) for its Antares rocket, wants to be able to consider using the RD-180 engines instead.  The RD-AMROSS agreement is exclusive to ULA, however.   Orbital filed a complaint with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which opened an investigation earlier this summer as to whether that the RD-AMROSS arrangement violates antitrust laws.

The comments made to Izvestiya that form the basis of the RT story could be an effort to influence the FTC investigation, to raise the price for the engines especially now that there is an additional potential customer, or both.  Of course, it could be a genuine attempt on the part of the Russian Security Council to prevent sales to the United States, although, as the RT article points out, that would negatively impact Energomash since RD-AMROSS is the only customer for those engines.  In addition, the fact that Atlas V launches national security payloads is hardly new so it would be surprising for that to suddenly become a concern, although U.S. – Russian relations are frayed right now over the Edward Snowden affair and Syria.

Atlas V originally was built by Lockheed Martin as part of the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) program.  The decision to use Russian engines on a launch vehicle critical for U.S. national security payloads was very controversial.  Initially the company agreed to build a production facility here in the United States to guard against the possibility that Russia might someday terminate the supply of engines, but that never happened.  The EELV program had a tortuous history in the late 1990s and early 2000s and eventually Lockheed Martin and Boeing created a joint venture, ULA, to build both the Atlas V and the Delta IV.    ULA insists that it has a stockpile of RD-180 engines sufficient to ensure Atlas V launches for many years, although the exact number of engines is not publicly available.

 

Space Policy Events for the Weeks of August 26-September 6, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Weeks of August 26-September 6, 2013

Space policy events are not likely to interfere in back-to-school activities in the coming week — there is nothing on the schedule as of today (though that can always change).  The pace picks up a bit next week and will almost certainly resume with vigor the week of September 9 when Congress returns.

August 26-30 (Monday-Friday)

  • Not a thing at the moment

Tuesday, September 3

Wednesday-Friday, September 4-6

Thursday, September 5

 

 

Three Russian Industry Officials Fired Over Proton Failure

Three Russian Industry Officials Fired Over Proton Failure

Three officials of the company that manufactures Proton rockets have been fired because of the Proton launch failure last month.   The fate of Russian government officials is pending.

A Proton-M rocket carrying three Russian GLONASS navigation satellites failed spectacularly 17 seconds after liftoff on July 1 Eastern Daylight Time (July 2 local time at the launch site in Kazakhstan).   It was the latest in a string of failures of various Russian rockets and upper stages since December 2010 that has been bedeviling the Russian space program.  Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin was put in charge of the space program in 2011 to find what was wrong and fix it.

The July Proton failure was caused by improper installation of three attitude control sensors.  Rogozin initially rejected reports that the sensors were installed incorrectly, saying the process was virtually foolproof.  When the investigation board concluded that was, indeed, the problem he rhetorically asked “How can you install sensors wrong?” 

Vladimir Popovkin, head of Russia’s space agency, Roscosmos, was publicly reprimanded by Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev earlier this month. Today, Rogozin announced that three officials of Khrunichev State Research and Space Production Center have been dismissed from their jobs:  Alexander Kobzar, Dedputy Director General for Quality Control; Valery Grekov, head of the assembly shop; and Mikhail Lebedev, head of the technical control department.  Khrunichev manufactures Proton.

Several other officials reportedly also were “brought to account” and the fate of Roscosmos officials will be determined by late September according to the report in Russia’s news service Itar-Tass.

International Launch Services, which markets commercial launches on Proton, announced last week that the Proton would return to flight on September 15 carrying an SES satellite, Astra-2E.