Category: International

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 9-13, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 9-13, 2013

The following activities may be of interest in the week ahead.  Congress returns to work this week with a full plate of issues to resolve. 

During the Week

Syria tops the issues Congress will grapple with as it returns to work after its summer recess, but passing a Continuing Resolution (CR) to fund the government after September 30 is also on the docket.   The content of the CR is the subject of many rumors starting with how long it will last (weeks or months) and whether it will hold agencies to their FY2013 funding levels, the funding levels in the House-passed budget resolution (which are lower), the funding levels in the Senate-passed budget resolution (which are higher), or something in between.   Congress often compromises on the “something in between” level.  We may get a hint later this week; some reports suggest that the House could take up a CR on Thursday.

NASA still has not released its FY2013 operating plan, which details how the money it was allocated for FY2013 as adjusted for the sequester and two rescissions will be distributed among its various programs, projects and activities.  SpacePolicyOnline.com was able to obtain top level numbers from NASA last week and we updated our FY2013 and FY2014 budget fact sheets accordingly, but the next tier of detail is available only for planetary science based on a presentation by planetary science division director Jim Green to the NRC’s Committee on Astrobiology and Planetary Science (CAPS) a few days ago (which we also added to our fact sheets).  We continue to try to get NASA to release the more detailed figures for other parts of the Science Mission Directorate and the rest of NASA.

In other matters, three International Space Station crew members are set to return home on Tuesday night; SpaceX is gearing up for its first launch of a new version of the Falcon 9 rocket — v1.1 — from Vandenberg Air Force Base, though it has not announced the date so it may or may not occur this week (so it’s not listed below); and there are meetings and conferences from Washington, D.C. to Wailea, Hawaii as shown below.

Tuesday, September 10

Tuesday-Thursday, September 10-12

Tuesday-Friday, September 10-13

Thursday, September 12

DalBello Headed to OSTP

DalBello Headed to OSTP

Richard DalBello will begin his new job at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) on September 23.  His appointment has been rumored for several weeks.

DalBello has a long history of government and private sector experience in the space business.   Currently he is Vice President of Government Affairs for Intelsat General.  

He will be OSTP’s Assistant Director, Aeronautics and Space, the same position he held for four years of the Clinton Administration.

Among his previous government jobs, he worked at the congressional Office of Technology Assessment, for NASA as director of commercial communications where he was responsible for private sector experiments on the Advanced Communications Technology Satellite (ACTS), and for the Department of Commerce as Director of the Office of Space Commercialization.  He also worked on the staff of the 1985-1986 National Commission on Space.    In the private sector, he was president of the Satellite Broadcasting and Communications Association, president of the Satellite Industry Association, general counsel of Spotcast Communications Inc., and Vice President for Government Affairs, North America for ICO Global Communications. 

He has a B.S. in political science from the University of Illinois, a master’s degree in law from McGill University, and a J.D. from the University of San Francisco.

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 2-6, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Week of September 2-6, 2013

Officially Congress does not return until September 9, but at least one committee (Senate Foreign Relations) reportedly is planning a hearing on the situation in Syria this week and others may follow suit in the wake of President Obama’s decision to seek congressional approval for military action there.  No space-related hearings are expected, however.  Meanwhile, here’s what IS happening in space policy in the coming week.

Tuesday, September 3

Wednesday,  September 4

Wednesday-Friday, September 4-6

Thursday, September 5

NOAA Signs New Cooperative Agreement with EUMETSAT

NOAA Signs New Cooperative Agreement with EUMETSAT

NOAA and its European counterpart, EUMETSAT, signed a new agreement this week extending their cooperative activities in weather, ocean, and climate observations.

The European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT) and NOAA have worked together for decades, beginning with each providing backup geostationary weather satellite capabilities for the other in the 1980s.   The cooperation grew closer in the late 1990s with the decision to operate an integrated polar-orbiting weather satellite constellation.  NOAA, DOD and EUMETSAT each provide one satellite.  The three satellites are in complementary orbits (early morning, mid-morning, and afternoon) to enable the more precise forecasts available today.  NOAA and EUMETSAT also cooperate in the JASON series of ocean altimetry satellites.

The agreement signed on Tuesday by acting NOAA Administrator Kathy Sullivan and EUMETSAT Director-General Alain Ratier extends that cooperation, providing “a general policy framework to enhance the Parties’ ability to plan for long-term space-based observing systems for operational meteorology and operational monitoring of the oceans, the composition of the atmosphere, and climate monitoring.”

The agreement is for “long-term” cooperation and has no set date for termination.   It became effective with the signature of both Parties and remains in effect unless terminated by either Party with not less than one-year’s notice.  No financial commitments are made by either side. 

Logsdon and Pace Criticize Lack of White House Leadership on NASA, Say Agency is Adrift

Logsdon and Pace Criticize Lack of White House Leadership on NASA, Say Agency is Adrift

George Washington University (GWU) space policy experts John Logsdon and Scott Pace agree NASA is adrift today, particularly with regard to the human spaceflight program, and blame the White House for a lack of leadership.

Speaking in a teleconference this morning, the two veteran observers of and participants in U.S. space policy offered their views on NASA’s past, present and future.   Pace has a long career in and out of government, including high ranking positions at NASA and the White House under Republican Administrations and was a top NASA official under the George W. Bush administration.  Today he is Director of GWU’s Space Policy Institute.

Logsdon is considered the “dean” of space policy and published his first book on President John F. Kennedy’s decision to go the Moon in 1970.   A GWU professor since that era, he founded the Space Policy Institute and is now a professor emeritus there.  He recently authored a new book about Kennedy’s role in the Apollo program and is now writing one on President Richard Nixon’s post-Apollo decisions.

Both believe NASA is adrift today and criticized the Obama Administration for its lack of leadership.  Logsdon stressed that when he talks about a lack of leadership he is referring more to the White House than to NASA itself.

Pace said the “sense of drift, or the sense of a lack of consensus is fairly serious” and shows up particularly in terms of relationships with the international community.    He believes returning humans to the Moon – the program he was implementing when he worked at NASA – should be the next step for human spaceflight because it responds to today’s geopolitical environment since many other countries want to participate in such a mission.   The Obama Administration’s goals of sending people to an asteroid and then to Mars are beyond the capabilities of those countries right now, he explains, so they would be left out of such plans.

Logsdon views the ongoing debate as a continuation of four decades of “failure to reach consensus” on NASA’s future, especially for human spaceflight.   Articulating a rationale for human spaceflight is extremely difficult and he anticipates that the National Research Council committee currently tasked with that assignment will not succeed either.  “I don’t think there is an answer,” he said; instead it is a matter of “personal choice” by individuals and leaders and the “lack of leadership of this administration” has “put us in a situation which is unfortunate.”

The Obama Administration’s long term goal of sending people to Mars reflects a long-standing paradigm that began with a vision advanced by Wernher von Braun decades ago.  In response to a question about whether that should, in fact, be the goal, Logsdon agreed that it is rarely challenged, but there are alternatives such as construction of space solar power satellites or free-flying space colonies.  The “fixation” on sending humans to Mars “takes us in a particular direction that’s been there for half a century or more” without debate on whether that’s the right direction, he added.

Asked to speculate about how the departure of NASA Deputy Administrator and Obama Administration insider Lori Garver may affect NASA in the coming years, Logsdon said it depends on whether she will be replaced and, if so, by someone who shares her commitment to “revitalization and innovation.”   If not, he worries there could be “backsliding” on some of the changes she championed, such as the commercial crew effort and NASA’s commitment to ensuring competition between at least two companies.

Pace hopes that a replacement for Garver might be able to fix the process by which Administration decisions are made and announced.  He and Logsdon both criticized how the Obama Administration handled the roll out of its decision to terminate the Constellation program to return humans to the Moon and instead focus on sending people to an asteroid.  The announcement came as a surprise to both Republicans and Democrats in Congress and pitted Congress and the White House against each other in a bruising debate over NASA’s future.  The resulting compromise in the 2010 NASA authorization act left NASA with direction to do both what the White House wanted and what Congress wanted, but without the requisite resources to succeed.

Logsdon’s disenchantment with the Obama Administration’s treatment of NASA is much broader.   By this time President Obama should have invited international partners to work together to define the future of the space program and should have given NASA “a relatively crisp sense of what it’s role should be,” he insisted, but Obama “hasn’t done that” and “that’s been very disappointing to me.” 

Russian News Source Claims Russia Reconsidering Exports of RD-180 Engines to US

Russian News Source Claims Russia Reconsidering Exports of RD-180 Engines to US

Russia Today (RT) is reporting that Russia’s Security Council is reconsidering exports of Russian RD-180 rocket engines to the United States.  RD-180s are used for the United Launch Alliance’s (ULA’s) Atlas V rocket.

The RT story, based on an account in Russia’s Izvestiya newspaper, asserts that a Russian space agency official told Izvestiya that the Russian Security Council may ban exports of the engines and such a ban “could halt the U.S. space program.”   That is an overstatement since the Atlas V is only one U.S. launch vehicle, but it is a very important rocket used for NASA and national security payloads.  

The RD-180 engines are manufactured by Russia’s NPO Energomash.  A joint venture, RD-AMROSS, was created between Energomash and the U.S. company Pratt & Whitney-Rocketdyne for delivery of the engines.   Pratt & Whitney-Rocketdyne was recently acquired by Aerojet; the merged company is Aerojet Rocketdyne.

RT reports that 63 engines have been delivered so far and another 31 are due to be delivered under a contract signed in December 2012.   The Russian Security Council reportedly is debating whether to deliver the engines under the new contract because of two concerns:  that the engines are used to launch U.S. military satellites and that under the first contract the engines were sold for only half their production cost.

At the same time, Orbital Sciences Corporation, which uses a different Russian rocket engine (the NK-33, which is called the AJ-26 after being refurbished by Aerojet) for its Antares rocket, wants to be able to consider using the RD-180 engines instead.  The RD-AMROSS agreement is exclusive to ULA, however.   Orbital filed a complaint with the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which opened an investigation earlier this summer as to whether that the RD-AMROSS arrangement violates antitrust laws.

The comments made to Izvestiya that form the basis of the RT story could be an effort to influence the FTC investigation, to raise the price for the engines especially now that there is an additional potential customer, or both.  Of course, it could be a genuine attempt on the part of the Russian Security Council to prevent sales to the United States, although, as the RT article points out, that would negatively impact Energomash since RD-AMROSS is the only customer for those engines.  In addition, the fact that Atlas V launches national security payloads is hardly new so it would be surprising for that to suddenly become a concern, although U.S. – Russian relations are frayed right now over the Edward Snowden affair and Syria.

Atlas V originally was built by Lockheed Martin as part of the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) program.  The decision to use Russian engines on a launch vehicle critical for U.S. national security payloads was very controversial.  Initially the company agreed to build a production facility here in the United States to guard against the possibility that Russia might someday terminate the supply of engines, but that never happened.  The EELV program had a tortuous history in the late 1990s and early 2000s and eventually Lockheed Martin and Boeing created a joint venture, ULA, to build both the Atlas V and the Delta IV.    ULA insists that it has a stockpile of RD-180 engines sufficient to ensure Atlas V launches for many years, although the exact number of engines is not publicly available.

 

ISS Crew Recreates Spacesuit Leak, Cause Still a Mystery

ISS Crew Recreates Spacesuit Leak, Cause Still a Mystery

Astronauts aboard the International Space Station (ISS) recreated the spacesuit leak that endangered European Space Agency astronaut Luca Parmitano last month, but the root cause of the leak remains undetermined.

As shown in a NASA video released as part of its Space Station Live recap today, water collecting in the helmet is clearly visible.  The suit was powered up — with no one in it — to see if the problem still exists.   It does.  Some of the spacesuit parts will be returned to Earth for further study since engineers have been unable to discover exactly what went wrong.  They know the leak came from the spacesuit’s cooling system, but that’s all.

Parmitano shared the chilling details of what he experienced on July 16 in a blog post last week.  About an hour into a planned 6.5 hour spacewalk, he began feeling water behind his head.  The amount grew and grew until eventually it surrounded his head, impairing his ability to see, hear and speak, and, almost, to breath.  The spacewalk was terminated and he returned to the airlock and was helped out of his suit by crewmates just in time.

Japan Set for Inaugural Launch of New Epsilon Rocket – Update 2

Japan Set for Inaugural Launch of New Epsilon Rocket – Update 2

UPDATE 2, 7:30 am August 27 EDT:  JAXA issued a press release saying that the launch was aborted when “an automatic stop alarm was issued as an attitude abnormality was detected approximately 19 seconds prior to liftoff…”     A new launch date/time was not announced.

UPDATE, 1:00 am August 27 EDT:  The launch counted down, but there was no liftoff.  An English subtitle on the JAXA live launch site said that “countdown operations was halted” and more details would be reported as information becomes available.

ORIGINAL STORY, August 26, Eastern Daylight Time (EDT):  The Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) is planning the first launch of its new Epsilon rocket in a few hours from its Uchinoura launch site.

Epsilon is a successor to the M-V rocket developed by Japan’s Institute of Space and Astronautical Sciences (ISAS).  ISAS became part of JAXA in 2003.   Though it can launch less mass into low Earth orbit, Epsilon was designed to be less costly than the M-V.   It relies more on autonomous systems, for example, for pre-launch checkout.  JAXA says that “[u]ltimately, through the internet, we will be able to check and control rockets anywhere in the world by using a laptop computer.”

The first launch of the three-stage solid rocket booster is scheduled for 12:45-1:30 am August 27 Eastern Daylight Time (1:45 – 2:30 pm August 27 local time in Japan).   It will place the 350 kilogram Spectroscopic Planet Observatory for Recognition of Interaction of Atmosphere (SPRINT-A) satellite into a 950 x 1150 kilometer Earth orbit.  SPRINT-A is designed to study planetary magnetospheres, particularly that of Jupiter, which has an inherent magnetic field 10,000 times stronger than Earth’s.  A secondary mission is studying the atmospheres of Venus and Mars from Earth orbit.

The launch will be broadcast live beginning at 12:25 am EDT (1:25 pm local time in Japan).

Space Policy Events for the Weeks of August 26-September 6, 2013

Space Policy Events for the Weeks of August 26-September 6, 2013

Space policy events are not likely to interfere in back-to-school activities in the coming week — there is nothing on the schedule as of today (though that can always change).  The pace picks up a bit next week and will almost certainly resume with vigor the week of September 9 when Congress returns.

August 26-30 (Monday-Friday)

  • Not a thing at the moment

Tuesday, September 3

Wednesday-Friday, September 4-6

Thursday, September 5

 

 

Kennel: Decadal Surveys Still Important Despite Challenges

Kennel: Decadal Surveys Still Important Despite Challenges

Charles Kennel, chair of the National Research Council’s (NRC’s) Space Studies Board (SSB), believes that Decadal Surveys are still valuable strategy tools for the space and earth sciences communities despite the challenges of developing and implementing the most recent set.   Kennel’s views are summarized in a new report from the SSB on lessons learned from the Decadal Survey process.

The NRC conducts Decadal Surveys approximately every 10 years laying out priorities for several scientific disciplines for the next 10 years — hence the term “decadal.”   The SSB has led or co-led five Decadal Surveys published over the past several years:  Earth science and applications from space (2007), astronomy and astrophysics (2011), planetary exploration (2011), life and physical sciences in space (2011), and heliophysics (2012). 

NASA’s Science Mission Directorate (SMD) was the sponsor or co-sponsor of all those studies except life and physical sciences in space (which was sponsored by NASA’s former Exploration Systems Mission Directorate).  The four SMD studies were the subject of an SSB workshop last year assessing what improvements might be made when the next set of surveys is prepared.   A summary of the workshop was published today.   

NRC workshop summaries do not contain findings or recommendations, but this recounting of the 2-day workshop is rich with views of the scientists who were members of the Decadal Survey committees, NASA officials, and members of the international earth and space science communities.   Kennel’s concluding remarks lay out the highlights that he heard, or, as he says, did not hear.  Chief among them was that “Nobody said we shouldn’t have another decadal survey.”  

That being said, Kennel identified several key points that could be useful for future surveys.  Kennel’s observations as summarized in the report include the following:

  • Decadal Surveys necessarily take the length of time they do (about two years), but should not “be made complex or elaborate than it already is”;
  • the Statement of Task (SoT) for each study must be carefully negotiated between the NRC and the sponsor because the SoT defines the nature and scope of the study — Kennel paraphrased Steven Squyres, chair of the planetary science Decadal Survey, as saying “It’s the Statement of Task, stupid”;
  • more international and interagency collaboration before a Decadal Survey begins would be helpful, and while that is an area where NASA must lead, the NRC could encourage NASA to “bring about an enhanced level of collaboration”;
  • the language used to describe missions recommended in Decadal Surveys must be chosen carefully to accurately convey the level of detail (or lack thereof) that was available at the time the study took place and assessed by the survey committees using the Cost and Technical Evaluation (CATE) process;
  • the CATE process itself must be carefully described “because the CATE estimates are so probabilistic …. that including a description of the uncertainty in cost would better illustrate that the CATE numbers are notional at best, thus conveying cost and risk at the same time”;
  • future surveys could “explicitly assign a risk acceptance level” to the recommended missions especially since large missions may demand a higher risk management commitment than smaller missions.

The NRC has published Decadal Surveys in astronomy and astrophysics since 1964.   Surveys for the other space and earth science disciplines began early in this century.  Historically, they are referred to as “bibles” for NASA’s science program since they represent a consensus of the top experts in each of the scientific disciplines and NASA endeavors to execute the missions prioritized in the surveys.   At the beginning of each study, NASA provides an estimate of how much money will be available for new missions during the decade under study. The NRC survey committee sets its priorities based on scientific value and estimated mission cost and risk. 

For this recent round of surveys, however, the actual amount of money available to implement recommended missions is much less than NASA — and therefore the survey committees — expected.  The discrepancy is due either to cost overruns on existing programs that leaves less for new starts or to overall constraints on NASA’s budget.  Thus, the top priority missions recommended in several of the surveys cannot, in fact, be implemented in the near future, leading many in the space and earth science communities exasperated.    Individuals who serve on NRC committees are not compensated, yet they must take time away from their research and personal lives to volunteer for these intense efforts and some question whether it is worthwhile.  In Kennel’s view, the answer clearly is yes.