Category: Commercial

Events of Interest: Week of June 18-22, 2012

Events of Interest: Week of June 18-22, 2012

The following events may be of interest in the week ahead.   The House and Senate both are in session this week.

During the Week

On the international front, China’s Shenzhou-9 space station mission undoubtedly will be one focus of attention in the space community.  The three-person crew, including China’s first woman astronaut, was launched on Saturday morning (Eastern Daylight Time) and will dock with China’s Tiangong-1 space station module on Monday.   This will be the first Chinese crew to dock with a space station.  That first docking will be automated, a task demonstrated last year by Shenzhou-8, which did not have a crew.   Later in the mission, the Shenzhou-9 crew will undock and then one of the crew members, Liu Wang, will perform a manual re-docking to show it can be done.   Liu Wang should not be confused with his crew-mate, Liu Yang, who is China’s first woman in space.   The mission’s commander is Jing Haipeng. The mission is expected to last a total of 13 days.  We’ve put together a handy list of all the Chinese missions that have carried crews — this is the fourth.

Here in the Washington, commercial space activities have center stage.   The head of NASA, Charlie Bolden, and the acting head of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), Michael Huerta, will hold a media teleconference on Monday to talk about commercial space.  It is rather unusual for the head of the FAA to have such a public role in space issues.  The FAA’s Office of Commercial Space Transportation (AST) facilitates and regulates commercial launches and reentries and is a significant player on the space policy scene, but it is a comparatively small part of the FAA’s portfolio.  On Tuesday, the House Appropriations Committee will markup the bill that funds the FAA (Transportation-HUD).  On Wednesday, the Senate Commerce Committee will hold a hearing on commercial space where NASA and FAA representatives will testify, but not Bolden or Huerta.  Or, for that matter, George Nield, the head of AST.  Instead, Pam Melroy, a former NASA astronaut who serves as a “senior technical advisor” to Nield, is the FAA’s witness.  (Another former astronaut, Michael Lopez-Alegria, also will testify.  He’s now head of the Commercial Spaceflight Federation.)  Huerta is probably saving himself for his confirmation hearing to become the official FAA administrator instead of acting.  That hearing will be held Thursday by the same committee.  Huerta has been acting FAA administrator since Randy Babbitt had to resign in December after being pulled over by police for driving under the influence.  A judge dismissed those charges last month, but Babbitt told the Associated Press he had no regrets about resigning.

Monday, June 18

Tuesday, June 19

Wednesday, June 20

Thursday, June 21

 

 

Events of Interest: Week of June 11-15, 2012

Events of Interest: Week of June 11-15, 2012

The following events may be of interest in the coming week.   The Senate is in session; the House is in recess.

Monday, June 11

Tuesday, June 12

Tuesday-Thursday, June 12-14

Wednesday, June 13

 

SASC Report Lifts Veil on Commercial Satellite Imagery Rift

SASC Report Lifts Veil on Commercial Satellite Imagery Rift

Insight into the battle over whether the government should continue to support two commercial companies to provide electro-optical satellite imagery emerged with the release of the Senate Armed Services Committee (SASC) report on DOD’s FY2013 authorization bill.  GeoEye and DigitalGlobe sell imagery to the government under the EnhancedView contract administered by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA).  The government contracts are a significant part of their businesses.  Substantial cutbacks in government purchases could mean that only one company would survive.

Rumors have been rampant for months that the government plans to scale back its commercial satellite imagery purchases because of reduced requirements and a decision to rely more on the government’s own satellites.   The spy satellites built and operated by the government’s National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) produce images with better resolution, but are highly classified and thus difficult to share with allies, for example.  The satellites also are costly.

After the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, U.S. government demands for imagery burgeoned to support the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.  Decisions were made to contract for imagery from commercial companies to supplement NRO’s products.  While not as good as NRO imagery, commercial imagery is good enough for many purposes.

The EnhancedView contract NGA awarded to GeoEye and DigitalGlobe in 2010 is a follow-on to previous contracts called ClearView and NextView.  The EnhancedView contract is valued at $7.3 billion combined for the two companies if all options are exercised.  The 10-year contract is structured as a one-year contract with nine one-year options.

NGA’s budget is classified, so how much it is requesting for commercial imagery for FY2013 is unavailable, although the EnhancedView contract called for payments of $250 million per year for the first four years to the two companies.  SASC wants to add $125 million to whatever amount NGA requested to ensure that the government continues to support both companies.  Section 930 of SASC’s version of the FY2013 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) also requires two studies — one by the Joint Chiefs of Staff and another by the Congressional Budget Office — on the need for and cost effectiveness of commercial imagery. 

A lengthy section in SASC’s report (S. Rept. 112-173) explains the committee’s action, shedding light on how the debate has evolved.   Pieces of the story have been reported in a few media sources, notably an April 19, 2012 New York Times article, but this is the most detailed account to appear publicly in an official government document.

The debate intermixes three questions:  how much electro-optical satellite imagery does the U.S. government need;  what is the most cost-effective means for filling those requirements –  with the government’s own systems, by purchasing commercial imagery, or both; and what obligation does the government have to ensure the business success of the companies.

GeoEye and DigitalGlobe sell imagery with 0.5 meter resolution, though many say the images are better than that and the companies degrade the data for sale on the open market to abide by government policy requirements on what can be disseminated.   NGA’s purchases underpin the business models of the two companies, although they do have other customers such as Google.

The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan drove the govenrment’s need for more satellite imagery that could be easily shared with others.  With those conflicts ended or ending, the question arises as to how much imagery the government now needs and how best to obtain it. 

The SASC report traces the history of defense and Intelligence Community (IC) decision-making on the need for commercial imagery.  It points to a rift between the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), who oversees the 17 organizations, including NRO, that comprise the IC.

The report states that the DNI rejected a Joint Staff proposal that commercial satellites be the primary means for collecting electro-optical imagery.  The DNI instead wanted to rely on NRO to enhance existing government systems and build new ones.  That dispute reached the White House, but at the last minute the DNI and the Secretary of Defense agreed to do both — buy commercial imagery and new government satellites.  With that settled, GeoEye and DigitalGlobe “proceeded towards adding the equivalent of two more satellites that would be available to meet government needs,” SASC says. 

The DNI, however, apparently did not want to stick with that agreement and the dispute escalated to Congress.  SASC relates that the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence conducted a study concluding “enhanced commercial satellites could meet or exceed the overwhelming majority of electro-optical imaging requirements at less cost and risk” and would “provide greater resilience and survivability, and a broader, competitive industrial base.”  DNI countered with its own study asserting that more, smaller commercial satellites would not be less expensive than NRO’s satellites.   SASC says that it responded in the classified annex to last year’s report on the FY2012 NDAA by directing DOD — specifically the Joint Staff and DOD’s Cost Assessment and Program Evaluation office — to conduct another analysis, but “DOD declined” to do so.

Instead, late last year at least one part of DOD, the Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, and the DNI reached agreement to reduce funding for commercial imagery.  SASC complains the decision was not based on new analysis, but was simply included in the FY2013 budget request.   SASC emphasizes that the decision “would result in the elimination” of one of the two commercial companies competing for government contracts, thereby imperiling that company’s business.    The government’s “wild swing in demand has exposed two healthy companies to financial risk,” SASC charges.

For now, SASC wants to maintain the status quo while two new studies are completed.   In addition to adding the $125 million for FY2013, SASC directs the Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff  to do a comprehensive analysis of DOD’s imagery requirements and the role of commercial imagery in meeting them and report to Congress by April 1, 2013.  It also directs the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to report by September 15, 2013 on whether the proposed action is consistent with Presidential policy, Federal Acquisition Regulations, and law. 

Uncertainty about the government’s intentions already has impacted the companies.   GeoEye made an unsolicited offer to buy DigitalGlobe last month, which was summarily rejected by DigitalGlobe.  Both reported they have been assured of their promised EnhancedView funding for FY2012.   The question is what will happen in FY2013 and beyond.

SASC’s counterpart, the House Armed Services Committee (HASC), also noted the debate over commercial imagery in its report on the FY2013 NDAA (H.R. 4310, H. Rept. 112-479).  HASC, however, only included report language directing the Secretary of Defense to report to Congress by December 1, 2012 on the validated requirements for imagery and how DOD plans to meet them.  Unlike bill language, report language is not legally binding (though agencies are well advised to follow it).  SASC’s report requirements are in the bill itself.

Authorization bills like the NDAA set policy and recommend funding levels.   Only appropriations bills actually provide money, however.   The House Appropriations Committee did not mention commercial imagery in its report (H.R. 5856, H. Rept. 112-493) on the FY2013 defense appropriations bill.  The Senate Appropriations Committee has not acted on the bill yet.   Its defense subcommittee will hold a hearing tomorrow morning with Secretary of Defense Panetta and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Dempsey.  It would be unusual for a detailed issue like this to arise at such a hearing, however.

Industry Wants Third Party Launch Indemnification Made Permanent

Industry Wants Third Party Launch Indemnification Made Permanent

Industry witnesses at a congressional hearing June 6 asked Congress to make permanent the government’s authority to indemnify commercial launch service companies against some of the losses that could result if there was a catastrophic launch accident.  The current authority expires on December 31, 2012.

Frank Slazer of the Aerospace Industries Association and Alison Alfers of DigitalGlobe both asked that instead of another fixed term extension of the indemnification authority for 3 or 5 years, Congress make it permanent by eliminating the sunset provision in the law.   The authority was originally created in the 1988 Commercial Space Launch Act (CSLA) amendments and has been extended several times, most recently in 2009 for 3 more years until the end of 2012.  Congress is assessing the need for another extension. 

Under CSLA, the Federal Aviation Administration’s (FAA’s) Office of Commercial Space Transportation (AST) calculates what the Maximum Probable Loss (MPL) would be if a launch accident injured third parties — the general public — or damaged their property.  The launch operator must obtain insurance to cover that liability up to $500 million.  The government would have to pay for claims above $500 million to a maximum of $2.7 billion.  (The law says $2 billion, but the amount is adjusted for inflation, yielding the current limit of $2.7 billion.)    Losses above $2.7 billion must be covered by the launch operator, but such losses are considered very unlikely to occur.   

George Nield, AST Associate Administrator, said the Administration is requesting that Congress extend the authority for another 5 years.  When asked why it is not asking for permanent authority, Nield said that the Administration recognizes that Congress prefers to have opportunities to reassess the program and a 5-year extension is a compromise. 

DigitalGlobe operates commercial remote sensing satellites.  Alfers, the company’s Vice President for Defense and Intelligence, testified as a user of space launch services and stressed the need for the U.S. launch services business to avoid becoming even less competitive than it is today.  Her company recently shopped for a launch service provider and found that U.S. prices are 35-40 percent higher than foreign competitors, she said.  For a variety of reasons DigitalGlobe nonetheless chose a U.S. launch provider, but Alfers warned that if U.S. launch service providers must raise their prices because they have to buy more insurance, that could be the tipping point.  Slazer said not renewing the indemnification authority “would unnecessarily hamstring US companies’ ability to compete in the international launch services market.” He stressed that “Congress should eliminate the sunset provisions of the act or at least extend them for a much longer time” than it has previously.  Alfers agreed. 

Testimony by Alicia Cackley of the Government Accountability Office (GAO), however, suggests that the cost of insurance is a very small amount of launch prices.  She said in her written statement that it costs one percent of the dollar amount of coverage.  She told the committee that the average MPL for which the launch operator must buy insurance is $99 million, meaning that the insurance costs less than $1 million on average.   Launch prices are generally proprietary, but are on the order of $100 million for a launch to geostationary orbit.

Cackley also testified that some of the insurance companies GAO consulted criticize how the FAA calculates MPL.   They assert FAA’s methods are outdated.  Nield responded that the FAA is open to improvements in how it calculates MPL, but must weigh the costs, which could be “many hundreds of thousands of dollars” to purchase a specialized database, with the benefits.

Rep. Ralph Hall (R-TX), chairman of the full committee, said he hopes to bring a bill to the floor of the House before the end of the year to extend the authority.  “It can be done, it probably ought to be done,” he said.

At the beginning of the hearing, subcommittee chairman Rep. Steve Palazzo (R-MS) said he wanted to correct the record regarding the commercial cargo program.   He quoted Presidential Science Adviser John Holdren as saying the recent successful SpaceX mission represented a new model for the space program — “one initiated by this Administration.”   (Holdren’s remarks were made during ceremonies presenting the 2012 Kavli Prize at the World Science Festival on May 31 and come at the 15:15 mark in this World Science Festival video.) Palazzo said the comment is “at best, misleading,” since the Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) program began in the George W. Bush Administration and the contract under which SpaceX mission flew the mission was signed in 2006. 

House Authorizing Committee Chairman Praises Commercial Crew Compromise

House Authorizing Committee Chairman Praises Commercial Crew Compromise

The deal struck between Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA) and NASA over how to conduct future phases of the commercial crew program won another thumbs up today.   Wolf’s counterpart on the House committee that authorizes NASA’s activities, Rep. Ralph Hall (R-TX), praised the agreement.

Hall said in a press release that the compromise “answers many lingering concerns voiced by Members of this Committee … on uncertainties plaguing the program’s cost, and its ability to mandate crew safety design features.”

Hall chairs the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, an authorization committee that provides policy guidance and recommends funding levels.   Wolf chairs the House Appropriations Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) subcommittee that actually provides money (authorization committees make only recommendations for funding levels).  Wolf’s office released an exchange of letters yesterday where he and NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden laid out the key elements of their agreement.

Earlier today, Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison, the top Republican on both the Senate authorization committee and Senate Appropriations CJS subcommittee also endorsed the deal.

No public statements by House or Senate Democrats reacting to the agreement appear to have been made yet.  Both Republicans and Democrats in Congress have been highly critical of the commercial crew program since it became a centerpiece of the Obama Administration’s human spaceflight policy in 2010.

 

Influential Senator Signs On to Commercial Crew Downselect Compromise

Influential Senator Signs On to Commercial Crew Downselect Compromise

Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), an influential Senator on NASA issues, expressed her support for the agreement reached between Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA) and NASA on how many companies should be funded in the next phase of NASA’s commercial crew program.

In a press release, Hutchison said she applauded the agreement announced yesterday.    Hutchison has a particularly influential role in NASA issues in the Senate because she serves in key positions both on NASA’s authorizing and appropriating committees.  She is the top Republican on the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee that authorizes NASA’s activities, and the top Republican on the Senate Appropriations Commerce-Justice-Science (CJS) subcommittee that funds NASA.

At the CJS subcommittee markup of NASA’s FY2013 funding bill (S. 2323), Hutchison spoke strongly about the need to limit the number of companies that get funded in the next phase to two instead of four.   The chair of the subcommittee, Senator Barbara Mikulski (D-MD), stressed that was Hutchison’s personal view and not the subcommittee’s position.  The report on the bill is silent on the number of companies, but urges NASA not to obligate itself to more companies than it can reasonably expect to fund in the current budget environment.

Referring to her position that there should be only two awardees, Hutchison said in the press release that the Wolf-NASA agreement “follows that prescription and is welcome news,”

Key House Appropriator and NASA Agree on Commercial Crew Downselect

Key House Appropriator and NASA Agree on Commercial Crew Downselect

Rep. Frank Wolf (R-VA), who chairs the House appropriations subcommittee that funds NASA, and NASA Administrator Charlie Bolden, have agreed to limit the number of winners of commercial crew contracts to 2.5 instead of four.  An exchange of letters revealing the agreement was released by Wolf’s office today.

The first letter, from Wolf to Bolden on May 31, laid out the chairman’s understanding of NASA’s intentions for the Commercial Crew Program (CCP) based on recent discussions between his office and the agency.  Bolden’s reply yesterday affirmed that understanding.   

Among the agreed upon points is that NASA plans to select no more than 2.5 program partners (two full awards and one partial award) in the next phase of the CCP.  That phase is called Commercial Crew Integrated Capability (CCiCAP) and follows the two initial CCDEV rounds of awards made in 2010 and 2011.  In this third phase, companies must bid to provide a complete — “integrated” — system to take crews to and from the International Space Station (ISS) instead of just a spacecraft or just a launch vehicle, for example.

The number of companies to be funded is one of the sticking points between Congress and the Obama Administration on the CCP.  Although it is called a “commercial” program, it involves significant taxpayer investment.  NASA plans to spend $4.8 billion between FY2011 and FY2017 on commercial crew development.  The companies also are expected to invest their own capital, however, which makes this different from previous NASA human spaceflight programs.

NASA wants to ensure there is sufficient competition to yield at least two companies that will be able to provide commercial crew services.  It does not want to narrow the field (“down-select”) too quickly in this phase of the program.  Congress, however, wants to limit the amount of funds it must provide to support those companies.  NASA funded four companies in the second CCDEV round, but in the FY2013 Commerce-Justice-Science appropriations bill crafted by Wolf’s subcommittee and passed by the House on May 10 (H.R. 5326), the House told NASA to choose only one company, or at most one “leader” and one “follower.”   The Senate Appropriations Committee’s version of the bill (S. 2323) only cautions NASA not to take on obligations to more companies that can be “practically supported” in the current budget environment.

Another point of contention is how NASA is contracting with these companies.  So far, NASA has used Space Act Agreements (SAAs) instead of traditional contracts based on Federal Acquisition Regulations (FAR).  NASA planned to use FAR-based contracts for CCiCAP, but reversed course last December because it concluded that funding uncertainties made FAR-based fixed price contracts unrealistic.   NASA has little insight into what the companies are doing under SAAs.  It simply pays the companies once they meet agreed-upon milestones.   Under FAR-based contracts, NASA can set requirements and have insight and oversight of how the companies meet those requirements.  Congress has repeatedly expressed concern that commercial companies may not pay as close attention to astronaut safety as would NASA and want the agency to be able to keep tabs on what the companies are doing, hence the need for FAR-based contracts.

In the exchange of letters, NASA agrees that it is working on a strategy to use FAR-based contracting in the future and “anticipates having this strategy substantively complete” before making the CCiCAP awards and “will use FAR-based contracts” for certifying commercial crew capabilities and procuring crew transportation services.

Bolden’s letter said that the program needed more funding than the $500 million the House provided for FY2013.   NASA’s request was $830 million.  The Senate Appropriations Committee recommended $525 million (the Senate has not acted on the bill yet).  In a press release, Wolf said he agreed that funding should be “at or near” the Senate level.  He said he had reached this understanding with NASA “to prevent any disruption in the development of crew vehicles” to take astronauts to and from the ISS.

Landsat 5 Thermal Imager Kaput, But MSS Resurrected

Landsat 5 Thermal Imager Kaput, But MSS Resurrected

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) gave up on its attempts to restore daily image transmissions from Landsat 5’s Thematic Mapper (TM) thermal imaging instrument.  Launched by NASA in 1984, the satellite is decades past its design lifetime so an instrument failure is hardly unexpected.  Yet there also is good news.  Landsat 5’s other instrument, a Multi-Spectral Scanner (MSS), was brought back to life, so the spacecraft will continue to return data, albeit of less quality.

The Landsat program has experienced a tumultous programmatic history since the first satellite, then called ERTS-1, was launched in 1972.  The program celebrates its 40th anniversary on July 23.   NASA successfully launched Landsat 1-5.  An attempt to privatize the system failed in the early 1980s for many reasons including a launch vehicle malfunction that sent Landsat 6 to a watery grave in the Pacific Ocean.  The program was brought back into the government.  Landsat 7 was built and launched by NASA, but USGS took over operations of that satellite as well as Landsat 5.  NASA is building Landsat 8 (also called the Landsat Data Continuity Mission), with launch expected in January 2013.   The future of the program after that is up in the air.

USGS has been trying to restore the Landsat 5 TM since November when it suffered an electronics malfunction and daily image transmissions were suspended.  USGS said today that it will “attempt only a few additional image acquisitions over specific sensor-calibration sites as the TM transmitter nears complete failure.”

In the meantime, USGS reactivated Landsat 5’s MSS in a test mode after more than a decade of inactivity.  USGS Director Marcia McNutt said “the resurrection of the MSS a decade after it was last powered up and 25 years beyond its nominal lifespan is welcome news indeed.”  The MSS has fewer spectral bands (it does not acquire thermal data) and lower pixel resolution, but is an insurance policy in case Landsat 7 fails before the new Landsat 8 is launched in January.  Landsat 7 is also well past its design lifetime.  Launched in 1999, it has a scan line error problem meaning that each image has a 22 percent loss of data.

Unlike the high resolution imagery obtained from commercial remote sensing satellites operated by GeoEye and DigitalGlobe, medium resolution Landsat data have little commercial value, but are highly valued by the scientific community and specialized users such as the agriculture industry.

USGS is sponsoring a contest to celebrate the Landsat program’s 40th anniversary.  The deadline for submissions is Wednesday, June 6.

Events of Interest: Week of June 4-8, 2012

Events of Interest: Week of June 4-8, 2012

The following events may be of interest in the coming week. The House and Senate both are in session.

During the Week

The space policy world returns to its routine this week after an exciting SpaceX mission that kept everyone’s rapt attention from launch on May 22 to splashdown on May 31.  Dragon successfully returned to port in Los Angeles and flown to SpaceX’s facilities near Waco, TX over the weekend.  The final objective to be met is turning the cargo it returned from the International Space Station (ISS) over to NASA.  A NASA official said on May 31 that he did not expect it to take long to agree on a launch date for the first of 12 Commercial Resupply Service (CRS) missions to ISS SpaceX is expected to provide to NASA between now and 2015.

In the more humdrum world of Washington space policy, however, there still are events of interest upcoming.   Among them are the first meeting of the rejuvenated National Research Council (NRC)’s Committee on Astronomy and Astrophysics that will take place Monday-Wednesday.  A standing committee overseen jointly by the Space Studies Board and Board on Physics and Astronomy, CAA looks after ground- and space-based astronomy issues for the NRC in-between decadal surveys. 

Also of special interest, the House Science, Space and Technology Committee’s Space and Aeronautics Subcommittee will hold a hearing on government indemnification of launch service providers.   The 1988 Commercial Space Launch Act Amendments created the original authority for the government to indemnify launch service providers from third party claims between $500 million and $2 billion.  The companies must get their own insurance for up to $500 million and over $2 billion.   The authority was granted for 5 years and has been repeatedly extended over the decades.  It is currently set to expire on December 31, 2012.   Each time the authority is up for renewal, Congress asks whether the launch service industry still requires indemnification.  To date, Congress has always agreed to extend the authority, usually on the basis that other countries indemnify their providers so U.S. companies must have the same protection in order to be competitive.  There has yet to be a third-party claim since there have been no commercial launch accidents that injured the general public.

Though it is not policy-related, don’t miss the Venus Transit on June 5.  Be sure to get your special glasses out, or watch it on NASA TV.  This is the last time Venus will pass between Earth and the Sun until 2117, so for most us, this will be our last chance.  And for everyone interested is what’s going on with the Sun and how it affects Earth, check out the Space Weather Enterprise Forum also on Tuesday.

Monday, June 4

Monday-Wednesday, June 4-6

Tuesday, June 5

  • Space Weather Enterprise Forum, National Press Club, Washington, DC, 8:00 am – 5:00 pm
  • Venus Transit (Venus passes between the Earth and the Sun), different times around the globe, NASA TV will host a special at 5:30 pm ET

Wednesday, June 6

 

Musk: "Welcome Home, Baby" as Dragon Mission Ends

Musk: "Welcome Home, Baby" as Dragon Mission Ends

As Elon Musk’s Dragon spacecraft successfully splashed down in the Pacific Ocean this morning, he was thinking “welcome home, baby” as the mission came to a picture perfect ending.

International Space Station (ISS) astronauts using the robotic Canadarm2 detached Dragon from the ISS Harmony module at 4:05 am Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).   They released Dragon from Canadarm2 at 5:49 am EDT, a few minutes later than planned.  The spacecraft then performed a series of engine firings that put it on course for landing in the Pacific Ocean about 490 nautical miles southwest of Los Angeles.  It landed at 27 degrees North latitude, 120 degrees West longitude two minutes ahead of schedule at 11:42 am ET. 

 

Photo credit:  SpaceX:  https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/208264591887712257/photo/1

During a post-landing news conference, Musk said the difference in landing times was due to the wind.   Dragon uses two drogue chutes and then three main chutes to slow its landing speed.  Musk emphasized his plans for future versions of Dragon to return to land instead of water, using propulsive landing systems.  He also stressed that this version of Dragon is capable of taking crews to and from the ISS, although launch abort systems and additional successful launches are needed before offering such services.   If someone had stowed away on Dragon, though, that person would have been OK, he said.  He hopes the success of this mission lends credence to the commercial crew program that has been struggling to win support in Congress. 

In response to a reporter’s question about what he was thinking as Dragon floated in the ocean, he said his thoughts were “welcome home, baby. …. I feel really great, like seeing your kid come home.”

Musk and NASA Commercial Crew and Cargo Program Manager Alan Lindenmoyer were clearly delighted that the mission went so smoothly.  Lindenmoyer said that two objectives still need to be met — for NASA to see the cargo that was returned from the ISS and for that cargo to be delivered to the agency — but he anticipates that SpaceX will be given the go ahead to begin routine Commercial Resupply Services (CRS) to the ISS very soon.

Although many media reports are crediting the Obama Administration for the commercial cargo program, it actually began under the George W. Bush Administration and then-NASA Administrator Mike Griffin.  Griffin initiated the Commercial Orbital Transportation Services (COTS) program in 2006 as part of planning for the post-shuttle era.   COTS included a section (COTS-D) about the possibility of using commercial companies to launch people as well, but the concept ran into obstacles. 

In February 2010, however, President Obama embraced it wholeheartedly in NASA’s FY2011 budget request that revealed his decision that NASA would no longer launch people to low Earth orbit (LEO) after the final shuttle flight.  Instead, the country would rely on the commercial sector, with substantial financial support from the government, to develop commercial crew as well as commercial cargo systems.  That decision, coupled with his cancellation of President Bush’s Constellation program to return astronauts to the Moon by 2020 and someday send them to Mars, sparked a furor in Congress and started years of debate that is still ongoing.

The Dragon flight that ended today, however, certainly gives a boost to commercial cargo.   Questions may remain about the business aspects — how much the government will have to pay for these services — which raises the issue of when Orbital Sciences Corp. will be ready to compete with SpaceX.   Competition is envisioned as a way to keep prices down.  Orbital’s Antares rocket and Cygnus spacecraft have not been launched yet, but NASA is hopeful they will be later this year.

Even though these are called “commercial” missions, a significant amount of taxpayer money is involved.  NASA spent about $800 million helping SpaceX and Orbital develop their commercial cargo systems.   In 2008, it contracted for 12 cargo Commercial Resupply Services missions from SpaceX and eight from Orbital.  A memo prepared by staff of the House Science, Space and Technology Committee in May 2011 showed that NASA will spend $5.1 billion for ISS cargo services between FY2011 and FY2016.   Still, the government is expected to save money overall because the companies invested their own capital in system development, although the amount is not known publicly.

Lindenmoyer said today that NASA will need cargo services to the ISS through at least 2020 and he believes these systems will be useful for achieving other human space exploration goals.  “We must have strong partnerships” with the commercial industry, he said, “and I know there are opportunities that will fit well with this.”